Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 21

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday


	Ceares		Luarca

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.33	6.75
	1.37	4.27	7.2
	1.34	4.3	7.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.37)	4.3 ↑ (4.2)	7.22 ↓ (7.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceares
66.5%

Draw
21%

Luarca
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

21.6%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

17.5%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceares has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Luarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceares than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ceares that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luarca than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Ceares is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Luarca is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Ceares is absolute favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ceares won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Ceares won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UC Ceares
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
11.02.24	Sporting de Gijón B - Ceares	0:0 ✺
04.02.24	Ceares - Avilés Stadium	2:1 ✺
28.01.24	Condal - Ceares	2:0 ✺
21.01.24	Llanera - Ceares	1:0 ✺
13.01.24	Ceares - Colunga	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWLLT
- Luarca CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
11.02.24	Luarca - Avilés Stadium	0:2 ✺
04.02.24	Llanera - Luarca	5:1 ✺
28.01.24	Luarca - Praviano	0:1 ✺
21.01.24	Luarca - Lealtad	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Gijón Industrial - Luarca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
01.10.23	Luarca - Ceares	2:3
05.03.23	Luarca - Ceares	0:0
29.10.22	Ceares - Luarca	0:0

Ceares - Luarca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide