Match Info

Date: 27 March 2022, Sunday


	Ceares		Real Avilés

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.3	1.58
	5.2	3.4	1.64
	5.6	3.25	1.61
	6.6	3.66	1.56
	6.1	3.62	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.85 ↑ (4.82)	3.45 ↓ (3.74)	1.59 (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceares
15.7%

Draw
26.6%

Real Avilés
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.8%

24.2%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7%

24%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Real Avilés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceares than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Ceares - Real Avilés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Ceares has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Real Avilés is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Real Avilés could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Real Avilés is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ceares won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Ceares won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UC Ceares
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
20.03.22	Navalcarnero - Ceares	4:2 ✺
12.03.22	Ceares - Unión Adarve	0:1 ✺
06.03.22	Coruxo - Ceares	3:1 ✺
26.02.22	Ceares - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:1 ✺
19.02.22	Llanera - Ceares	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLTL
- Real Avilés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
20.03.22	Real Avilés - Langreo	2:2 ✺
13.03.22	Arosa - Real Avilés	0:0 ✺
06.03.22	Real Avilés - Palencia CA	2:2 ✺
27.02.22	Real Avilés - Navalcarnero	0:1 ✺
20.02.22	Unión Adarve - Real Avilés	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
07.11.21	Real Avilés - Ceares	3:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
13.10.19	Ceares - Real Avilés	2:3
07.01.19	Real Avilés - Ceares	1:2
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
21.04.18	Ceares - Real Avilés	1:0

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