Match Info

Date: 16 October 2022, Sunday


	Real Avilés		Palencia CA

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.3	4.5
	1.6	3.3	6
	1.65	3.45	4.7
	1.65	3.27	5.97
	1.64	3.44	5.2
	1.66	3.45	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (2.22)	3.37 ↑ (3.2)	5.2 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Real Avilés
55.4%

Draw
27.1%

Palencia CA
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

28.4%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

27.6%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Avilés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Avilés's performance.

Palencia CA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Palencia CA might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Avilés that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palencia CA than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Palencia CA could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Real Avilés - Palencia CA Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Real Avilés will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Palencia CA will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Real Avilés is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Real Avilés won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Real Avilés won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Avilés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
09.10.22	Real Avilés - Real Oviedo B	4:2 ✺
02.10.22	Arenteiro - Real Avilés	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
28.09.22	Real Avilés - Alcalá	1:2 penalties ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
24.09.22	Real Avilés - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	3:0 ✺
18.09.22	Bergantiños - Real Avilés	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTLWL
- Palencia CA
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
09.10.22	Palencia CA - Arenteiro	0:1 ✺
02.10.22	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Palencia CA	0:0 ✺
25.09.22	Palencia CA - Bergantiños	2:1 ✺
18.09.22	Coruxo - Palencia CA	0:0 ✺
10.09.22	Palencia CA - Polvorín	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
06.03.22	Real Avilés - Palencia CA	2:2
17.10.21	Palencia CA - Real Avilés	1:2

Upcoming Matches