Match Info

Date: 5 December 2021, Sunday


	Ceares		Salamanca

	1	X	2
	3.8	2.95	1.93
	4.6	3	1.8
	3.75	3.1	1.92
	4.82	3.12	1.86
	4.7	3.2	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.33 ↑ (3.43)	3.07 ↑ (3.02)	1.86 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceares
21.1%

Draw
29.8%

Salamanca
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

30%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

22.8%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ceares's form might have worsened.

Salamanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Salamanca's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceares than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salamanca than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Salamanca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ceares - Salamanca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out)).

Ceares has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Salamanca is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Salamanca is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UC Ceares
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.11.21	Ceares - Sporting de Gijón	0:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
27.11.21	Palencia CA - Ceares	3:0 ✺
20.11.21	Langreo - Ceares	1:0 ✺
14.11.21	Ceares - Arosa	1:4 ✺
07.11.21	Real Avilés - Ceares	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Salamanca
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
28.11.21	Salamanca - Langreo	1:0 ✺
21.11.21	Arosa - Salamanca	1:0 ✺
14.11.21	Salamanca - Real Avilés	0:0 ✺
07.11.21	Navalcarnero - Salamanca	2:0 ✺
31.10.21	Salamanca - Unión Adarve	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLTLL

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