Match Info

Date: 7 November 2021, Sunday


	Real Avilés		Ceares

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.5	6.25
	1.5	3.5	7
	1.42	3.8	7
	1.47	4.12	7.03
	1.48	3.98	6.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.47)	3.78 ↓ (3.94)	6.75 (6.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Avilés
62.1%

Draw
24.3%

Ceares
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

23.5%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.7%

19.5%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Avilés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Ceares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Avilés, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceares than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Real Avilés - Ceares Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Real Avilés is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ceares is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Real Avilés could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Real Avilés is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Real Avilés won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Real Avilés won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Avilés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
30.10.21	Langreo - Real Avilés	2:1 ✺
24.10.21	Real Avilés - Arosa	2:1 ✺
17.10.21	Palencia CA - Real Avilés	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
13.10.21	Real Avilés - Racing Santander	0:3 ET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
10.10.21	Navalcarnero - Real Avilés	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWLT
- UC Ceares
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
31.10.21	Ceares - Navalcarnero	0:1 ✺
24.10.21	Unión Adarve - Ceares	2:1 ✺
16.10.21	Ceares - Coruxo	1:0 ✺
10.10.21	Gimnástica Segoviana - Ceares	2:1 ✺
03.10.21	Ceares - Llanera	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
13.10.19	Ceares - Real Avilés	2:3
07.01.19	Real Avilés - Ceares	1:2
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
21.04.18	Ceares - Real Avilés	1:0

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