Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League 2 - Round 4

Date: 7 November 2024, Thursday

Location: Rizal Memorial Stadium (Manila)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC 2, beIN Sports MENA AFC 2, beIN Sports MENA AFC 2, TOD
China	QQ Sports
Hong-kong	HOY TV
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	RCTI+
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
Turkey	Spor Smart 2
Ukraine	Sport 2
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Onefootball


	Cebu FC		Muangthong United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.5	4.5	1.41
	6.5	4.75	1.4
	6.06	5.01	1.38
	5.96	4.93	1.39	Watch
	6.5	4.75	1.36
	6.23	4.7	1.41	Watch
	6.5	4.75	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.18 ↓ (7.96)	4.77 ↓ (5.25)	1.39 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cebu FC
14.9%

Draw
19.2%

Muangthong United
65.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.6%

17.6%

70.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.3%

17.2%

72.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cebu FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Muangthong United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cebu FC than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muangthong United than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Muangthong United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	10%	80%

Cebu FC - Muangthong United Predictions

Users Predictions: Muangthong United will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
66. Cekic Y. (G) 20. Corsame R. 4. Rendon Amirul K. J. 28. Strong S. 19. Yanik D. 3. Dabao C. 7. Mijland G. 45. Goutier R. 80. Kore M. 17. Togashi R. 77. Sy A. (C)	1. Phuthawchueak K. (G) 19. Do T. 29. Kraikruan S. 16. Praisuwan J. 22. Cissokho A. 34. Khamyok K. 37. Autra P. (C) 40. Wettayawong K. 10. Arjvirai P. 9. Brown F. 11. Roback E.
Substitutes
1. Badelic F. (G) 12. Bailey K. 8. Borlongan J. 6. Gadia D. 25. Kobayashi M. 22. Lucero J. 14. Rosquillo J. 13. Tasci B.	23. Busnja D. 13. Daengsee S. 27. Kwateh R. 14. Panthong S. 25. Rakyart S. (G) 3. Saengdao C. 15. Supma C. 21. Thodsanit P. 4. Woods S. 6. Yoryoei T.
Coaches
Goksu M.	Lettieri G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 6)
7', 0 - 1, Brown F. ⚽, Khamyok K. (A),
13', 0 - 2, Arjvirai P. ⚽, Roback E. (A),
20', 1 - 2, Mijland G. ⚽, Corsame R. (A),
23', 2 - 2, Mijland G. ⚽, Sy A. (A),
37', 2 - 3, Khamyok K. ⚽, Brown F. (A),
39', 2 - 4, Khamyok K. ⚽,
41', Kore M. ↓, Kobayashi M. ↑,
41', Yanik D. ↓, Gadia D. ↑,
45+2', 2 - 5, Brown F. ⚽, Khamyok K. (A),
45+6', 2 - 6, Arjvirai P. ⚽, Do T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Strong S. ↓, Bailey K. ↑,
46', Roback E. ↓, Daengsee S. ↑,
51', 2 - 7, Arjvirai P. ⚽,
55', Arjvirai P. ↓, Yoryoei T. ↑,
62', Cissokho A. ↓, Woods S. ↑,
62', Brown F. ↓, Thodsanit P. ↑,
65', 2 - 8, Thodsanit P. ⚽, Khamyok K. (A),
70', Autra P. ↓, Panthong S. ↑,
73', Corsame R. ↓, Lucero J. ↑,
81', Mijland G. ↓, Rosquillo J. ↑,
82', 2 - 9, Kraikruan S. ⚽, Panthong S. (A),

Preview

Recent matches Cebu is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Muangthong United is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cebu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Muangthong United is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cebu won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cebu FC
Philippines PFL
03.11.24	Cebu FC - One Taguig	0:0 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
23.10.24	Muangthong United - Cebu FC	2:2 ✺
Philippines PFL
19.10.24	Cebu FC - Manila Digger	0:1 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
03.10.24	Selangor FA - Cebu FC	1:0 ✺
Philippines PFL
29.09.24	Mendiola - Cebu FC	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TTLLW
- Muangthong United
Thai League 1
02.11.24	Muangthong United - Prachuap	0:2 ✺
Thai League Cup
30.10.24	Muang Trang United - Muangthong United	1:0 ✺
Thai League 1
27.10.24	Thai Port - Muangthong United	1:1 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
23.10.24	Muangthong United - Cebu FC	2:2 ✺
Thai League 1
19.10.24	Muangthong United - Pathum United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League 2
23.10.24	Muangthong United - Cebu FC	2:2

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