Match Info

Brasiliense - Round 3

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday


	Ceilândia		ARUC

	1	X	2
	1.2	5.5	12
	1.2	5.5	9.8
	1.27	4.79	10.16	Watch
	1.25	4.75	11
	1.23	5.2	11.8
	1.25	4.75	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.46)	5.08 ↑ (3.95)	10.79 ↑ (6.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceilândia
73.7%

Draw
17.9%

ARUC
8.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

23.2%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceilândia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ceilândia's performance.

ARUC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and ARUC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Ceilândia - ARUC Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ceilândia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - ARUC (2.05) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - ARUC (3.03) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Ceilândia (votes: 2 - 28.6%). ARUC (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Magdiel ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', 2 - 0, Patrikao ⚽,
60', 3 - 0, Patrikao ⚽,

Preview

ARUC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ceilândia is the obvious favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ceilândia
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
18.01.26	Samambaia - Ceilândia	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Ceilândia - Sobradinho	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
23.08.25	Barra Santa Catarina - Ceilândia	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Ceilândia - Barra Santa Catarina	1:1 ✺
09.08.25	Ceilândia - Água Santa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTLTW
- ARUC
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
17.01.26	ARUC - Capital CF Ltda	0:3 ✺
10.01.26	Paranoá - ARUC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LW

Ceilândia - ARUC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide