Match Info
Brasiliense - Round 2Date: 18 January 2026, SundayLocation: Rorizao (Samambaia)
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 |
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 |
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Samambaia |
|
Ceilândia |
|
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.2 |
2.92 |
2.2 |
|
 |
3.36 |
2.85 |
2.25 |
 Watch |
 |
3.3 |
2.7 |
2.25 |
|
 |
3.43 |
2.75 |
2.24 |
|
 |
3.4 |
2.75 |
2.2 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.34 ↑
(3.13) |
2.79 ↓
(3.12) |
2.23 ↑
(2.21) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Samambaia
27.1% | Draw
32.4% | Ceilândia
40.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Samambaia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Ceilândia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Samambaia - Ceilândia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45+4', 1 - 0, Diego Xavier ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', 2 - 0, Victor Xavier ⚽,
- 57', 2 - 1, Matheus ⚽,
Preview
Ceilândia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Ceilândia might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Samambaia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:17. (average 1.4:3.4).Including home matches between the teams, Samambaia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense | | | 08.03.25 | Ceilândia - Samambaia | 1:1 | | 24.02.24 | Samambaia - Ceilândia | 0:3 | | 26.02.23 | Samambaia - Ceilândia | 3:0 | | 10.04.21 | Ceilândia - Samambaia | 8:1 | | 14.03.18 | Ceilândia - Samambaia | 5:2 |
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