Match Info

Serie D - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Doutor Hercílio Luz (Itajaí)


	Barra Santa Catarina		Ceilândia

	1	X	2
	1.87	3	3.9
	1.65	3.4	4.75
	1.74	3.48	5.11
	1.74	3.04	5.59	Watch
	1.68	3.42	4.73
	2.1	3	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.08)	3.22 ↑ (3.2)	4.6 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barra Santa Catarina
51.3%

Draw
28.6%

Ceilândia
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

28.4%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

28.5%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barra Santa Catarina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barra Santa Catarina's performance.

Ceilândia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ceilândia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barra Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barra Santa Catarina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceilândia than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ceilândia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Barra Santa Catarina - Ceilândia Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Barra (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

In this match, Barra is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Barra won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barra Santa Catarina
Brazilian Serie D
16.08.25	Ceilândia - Barra Santa Catarina	1:1 ✺
09.08.25	Barra Santa Catarina - FC Cascavel	3:0 ✺
02.08.25	FC Cascavel - Barra Santa Catarina	0:1 ✺
27.07.25	Barra Santa Catarina - Brasil de Pelotas	0:1 ✺
19.07.25	São Luiz - Barra Santa Catarina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWWLW
- Ceilândia
Brazilian Serie D
16.08.25	Ceilândia - Barra Santa Catarina	1:1 ✺
09.08.25	Ceilândia - Água Santa	1:0 ✺
02.08.25	Água Santa - Ceilândia	1:1 ✺
26.07.25	Ceilândia - Goianésia	2:0 ✺
20.07.25	Goiânia - Ceilândia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
16.08.25	Ceilândia - Barra Santa Catarina	1:1

Barra Santa Catarina - Ceilândia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide