Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 10 August 2023, Thursday

Location: Stadion Stožice (Ljubljana)

Referee: Sakhi D. (Kaz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	SportKlub


	Celje		Neman Grodno

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.4	5	Watch
	1.68	3.4	4.8
	1.73	3.5	5
	1.74	3.6	5
	1.72	3.63	5.21
	1.67	3.64	5.4	Watch
	1.68	3.85	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.85)	3.57 ↑ (3.5)	5.12 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celje
55.3%

Draw
26.3%

Neman Grodno
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

27.1%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

29%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Neman Grodno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celje than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neman Grodno than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.3%	6.9%	13.8%

Celje - Neman Grodno Predictions

Users Predictions: Celje will win (23 of 29 users predict this - 79.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.57% – 94.05%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Rozman M. (G) 23. Karnicnik Z. 6. Zec D. 3. Vuklisevic D. 67. Milic N. 13. Vrbanec M. 10. Kouter N. 8. Bobicanec L. 11. Popovic D. (C) 7. Matko A. 14. Ikwuemesi C.	16. Rudenok K. (G) 33. Karpovich S. 4. Vasilyev A. 5. Parkhomenko E. 8. Pantya Y. 22. Shukurov A. 47. Kozlov M. 15. Evdokimov O. 88. Savitskiy P. 71. Suchkov A. 17. Zubovich E. (C)
Substitutes
9. Bajde G. 77. Bizjak L. 30. Edmilson 1. Jurhar M. (G) 27. Lamy J. 81. Nemanic K. 34. Speljak K. 88. Svetlin T. 19. Zabukovnik M.	14. Anyukevich A. 12. Belov M. (G) 13. Dayneka A. 18. Kravtsov M. 46. Legchilin A. 32. Pavlyukovets Y. 35. Veydyger K. (G) 24. Yakimov A.
Coaches
Riera A.	Kovalevich I.

Preview

1st leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium.

Recent matches Celje is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Neman is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Celje could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Celje is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Celje
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.08.23	Vitoria Guimarães - Celje	0:2 penalties ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
30.07.23	Celje - Mura	5:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	Celje - Vitoria Guimarães	3:4 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
23.07.23	Aluminij Kidricevo - Celje	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
16.07.23	Trabzonspor - Celje	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WWLTT
- FC Neman Grodno
UEFA Europa Conference League
01.08.23	Balzan - Neman Grodno	0:0 ✺
26.07.23	Neman Grodno - Balzan	2:0 ✺
20.07.23	Neman Grodno - Vaduz	1:1 ✺
13.07.23	Vaduz - Neman Grodno	1:2 ✺
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
07.07.23	Naftan - Neman Grodno	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TWTWW

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