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Current Win Probability
Naftan 13.8%
Draw 21.2%
Neman Grodno 65.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.5%
27%
42.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.4%
26.9%
42.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Naftan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Naftan's form might have worsened.
Neman Grodno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Neman Grodno's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naftan than the current prediction. (+16.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Naftan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neman Grodno than the current prediction. (-22.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Neman Grodno, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Naftan - Neman Grodno Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Kharitonovich A. (C) 97. Chernyavskiy V. 6. Adamovich K. 11. Pranovich I. 8. Stefanishin A. 50. Mafwenta G. 9. Yakovlev V. 10. Savitskiy A. 24. Seleznev I. 17. Krolik V. 30. Aymanov M.
16. Matysyuk N. (G) 55. Girs D. 14. Jimoh S. 4. Vasiljev A. 8. Pantya Y. 47. Kozlov M. 9. Pushnyakov S. 88. Savitskiy P. (C) 10. Lisakovich R. 15. Evdokimov O. 18. Kravtsov M.
Substitutes
14. Chmut I. 88. Drabatovich A. 57. Galimzyanov T. 21. Kirkitskiy K. 20. Leshchenok E. 25. Matvey S. 71. Naumovich A. (G) 7. Tumanov A. 94. Voskoboynikov A.
19. Dayneko A. 22. Kirko I. 1. Malievskiy A. (G) 6. Nazarenko A. 7. Ratkovic A. 33. Spataru D. 17. Suchkov A. 2. Tonkevich V. 24. Yakimov A.
Coaches
Khrapkovski A.
Kovalevich I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Lisakovich R. ⚽,
26', 0 - 2, Savitskiy P. ⚽, Pantya Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kravtsov M. ↓, Yakimov A. ↑,
46', Evdokimov O. ↓, Suchkov A. ↑,
69', Savitskiy A. ↓, Galimzyanov T. ↑,
72', Lisakovich R. ↓, Ratkovic A. ↑,
75', Girs D. ↓, Tonkevich V. ↑,
81', Savitskiy P. ↓, Nazarenko A. ↑,
81', Yakovlev V. ↓, Drabatovich A. ↑,
81', Aymanov M. ↓, Voskoboynikov A. ↑,
88', Adamovich K. ↓, Tumanov A. ↑,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Naftan won 0.
Recent form of Naftan has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Neman is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Neman may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Neman has had a series of away games.
In this match, Neman is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Naftan won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:33. (average 1:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Naftan won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.2:1.1).
Outrights of Belarusian Vysshaya Liga for now
Neman: 0.65%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Neman
22
11
4
7
26:20
6
37
16
Naftan
23
3
5
15
20:54
-34
14
Last Results with these Odds
Neman Grodno - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 42.55%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
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Kharitonovich A. (C) 
Stefanishin A. 
Mafwenta G. 
Yakovlev V. 
Jimoh S. 
Pantya Y. 
Ratkovic A. 
Spataru D. 
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