The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Celje 63.8%
Draw 20.1%
Nafta 16.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
61.4%
21.2%
17.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.7%
20.5%
16.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Celje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
Nafta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celje than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nafta than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Celje - Nafta Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 6th and 5th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Celje won 4.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Nafta could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Nafta has had a run of games away from home.
Celje carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Celje has recorded 6 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 22:9 (averaging 2.4:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Celje against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 10:4 goals (averaging 2.5:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Nafta
13
5
3
5
18:16
2
18
6
Celje
12
4
5
3
13:12
1
17
Last Results with these Odds
Celje - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 61.37%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.