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Current Win Probability
Celje 38.6%
Draw 26.8%
Olimpija Ljubljana 34.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.7%
22.8%
23.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.6%
22.4%
23.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Celje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Celje's form might have worsened.
Olimpija Ljubljana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Olimpija Ljubljana's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celje than the current prediction. (+16%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Celje, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpija Ljubljana than the current prediction. (-11.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olimpija Ljubljana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Leban Z. (G) 27. Calusic I. 13. Daniel P. 20. Dionkou A. 91. Dukuly Y. 4. Hrka D. 77. Ivansek M. 17. Kotnik A. 33. Koutris L. 32. Letonja T. 3. Vuklisevic D. (C)
26. Vidovsek M. (C) 14. Bendra K. 17. Cuni M. 34. Doffo A. 30. Gorenc J. 9. Kojic D. 8. Lourenco B. 10. Mitrovski D. 6. Perea L. 15. Ristic M. 3. Urbancic J.
Substitutes
11. Avdyli M. 23. Frelih Z. (G) 47. Kucys A. 8. Kvesic M. 99. Poplatnik M. 94. Pozeg R. 10. Seslar S. 2. Sirvys P. 25. Tusha V. 6. Tutyskinas A. 7. Verbic B. 19. Zabukovnik M.
88. Brecelj J. 18. Brest M. 52. Dajcar M. (G) 28. Diga 7. Goga T. 55. Henjak M. 54. Jurgec J. 23. Kobouri D. 56. Kukavica I. 99. Marin A. 22. Pintol D. (G) 11. Rose F.
Coaches
Campelos V.
Brecko M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Mitrovski D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Koutris L. ↓, Avdyli M. ↑,
46', Hrka D. ↓, Tutyskinas A. ↑,
60', Dukuly Y. ↓, Verbic B. ↑,
60', Calusic I. ↓, Kvesic M. ↑,
62', Lourenco B. ↓, Brest M. ↑,
66', Dionkou A. 🟨,
70', 1 - 0, Letonja T. ⚽,
76', Kojic D. ↓, Rose F. ↑,
76', Mitrovski D. ↓, Marin A. ↑,
80', Letonja T. ↓, Zabukovnik M. ↑,
89', Doffo A. ↓, Goga T. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Celje won 2.
Recent performances by Celje have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Olimpija's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Celje may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Olimpija has had a series of home games.
Celje will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Celje won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:24. (average 1.4:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Celje won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.2:1.2).