Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 4 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium (Yerevan)

Referee: Kruzliak I. (Svk)

Where to Watch on TV:


Armenia	1TV
Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Ararat-Armenia		Celje

	1	X	2
	2.70	3.10	2.50	Watch
	2.85	3.25	2.50
	2.70	3.30	2.48	Watch
	2.86	3.30	2.51
	3.09	3.2	2.4	Watch
	2.75	3.25	2.45
	2.81	3.22	2.60	Watch
	2.85	3.20	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↓ (2.91)	3.23 ↓ (3.35)	2.5 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ararat-Armenia
33.3%

Draw
29.1%

Celje
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

28.4%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ararat-Armenia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Celje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.9%	27.8%	33.3%

Ararat Armenia - Celje Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Ararat-Armenia will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Celje will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ararat-Armenia: 16.4% – 61.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ararat-Armenia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Joao Bravim (G) 3. Junior Julio 43. Wilson Valdez B. R. 47. Malis A. 16. Grigoryan E. 2. Oliveira H. 19. Muradyan K. (C) 17. Carlier M. 77. Serobyan A. 91. Sandro Lima 11. Banjaqui Z.	1. Leban Z. (G) 2. Sirvys P. 4. Hrka D. 6. Tutyskinas A. 8. Kvesic M. 13. Daniel P. 19. Zabukovnik M. (C) 25. Tusha V. 10. Seslar S. 47. Kucys A. 11. Avdyli M.
Substitutes
90. Ayongo P. 6. Ayvazyan M. 8. Balanta J. A. 70. Benny 9. Eloyan A. 95. Franca Carlos 5. Luis Felipe 25. Ndour A. 1. Nersesyan A. (G) 14. Pereira B. 7. Shaghoyan Z. 20. Tera A.	27. Calusic I. 20. Dionkou A. 91. Dukuly Y. 23. Frelih Z. (G) 77. Ivansek M. 12. Kolar L. (G) 17. Kotnik A. 33. Koutris L. 99. Poplatnik M. 94. Pozeg R. 7. Verbic B. 3. Vuklisevic D.
Coaches
Tulipa	Campelos V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Seslar S. (Penalty Awarded),
38', 1 - 1, Serobyan A. ⚽,
42', Tulipa 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Tusha V. ↓, Dukuly Y. ↑,
58', Kvesic M. 🟨,
59', Carlier M. ↓, Tera A. ↑,
59', Serobyan A. ↓, Franca Carlos ↑,
65', Kucys A. ↓, Pozeg R. ↑,
65', Seslar S. ↓, Kotnik A. ↑,
70', 2 - 1, Franca Carlos ⚽, Grigoryan E. (A),
83', Banjaqui Z. ↓, Ayvazyan M. ↑,
90', Sandro Lima ↓, Ayongo P. ↑,
90', Oliveira H. ↓, Ndour A. ↑,
90+5', Daniel P. 🟨,
90+5', Daniel P. ↓, Poplatnik M. ↑,

Preview

First leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Celje has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ararat-Armenia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Including home match between the teams, Ararat-Armenia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ararat-Armenia
Armenian Premier League
01.08.26	Gandzasar - Ararat-Armenia	3:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.07.26	Shamrock Rovers - Ararat-Armenia	2:1 ✺
21.07.26	Ararat-Armenia - Shamrock Rovers	2:0 ✺
14.07.26	Riga - Ararat-Armenia	3:2 ✺
07.07.26	Ararat-Armenia - Riga	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWLW
- NK Celje
Slovenian PrvaLiga
01.08.26	Celje - Maribor	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.07.26	Celje - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	3:2 penalties ✺
22.07.26	Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Celje	3:3 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
17.07.26	Celje - Mura	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
08.07.26	Celje - MTK Budapest	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TWTTL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
24.09.20	Ararat-Armenia - Celje	1:0 ET

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