Match Info

Serie D - Group A - Round 33

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday


	Celle Varazze		Sestri Levante

	1	X	2
	3.05	3.3	2.08
	3.2	3.3	2.1	Watch
	3.33	3.33	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (3.15)	3.31 ↑ (3.27)	2.11 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celle Varazze
28.7%

Draw
27.7%

Sestri Levante
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

27.8%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celle Varazze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Sestri Levante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celle Varazze than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestri Levante than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Celle Varazze - Sestri Levante Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: )).

Celle Varazze has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sestri Levante has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sestri Levante may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sestri Levante could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Celle Varazze won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Celle Varazze won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Sestri Levante	6	2	1	3	6:8	-2	7
18	Celle Varazze	6	0	0	6	1:13	-12	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celle Varazze
Italian Serie D - Group A
12.04.26	Celle Varazze - Varese	2:0 ✺
02.04.26	Derthona - Celle Varazze	0:2 ✺
29.03.26	Asti - Celle Varazze	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Celle Varazze - Unione Sanremo	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Biellese - Celle Varazze	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WWTWL
- USD Sestri Levante 1919
Italian Serie D - Group A
19.04.26	Sestri Levante - Asti	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Biellese - Sestri Levante	2:0 ✺
02.04.26	Sestri Levante - NovaRomentin	5:2 ✺
29.03.26	Chisola - Sestri Levante	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Sestri Levante - Cairese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
14.12.25	Sestri Levante - Celle Varazze	2:1

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