Match Info

Serie D - Group A - Round 30

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday


	Derthona		Celle Varazze

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.15	3.4
	1.99	3.25	4.18
	1.95	2.99	4.08	Watch
	1.91	3.2	3.4
	1.9	2.97	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.02)	3.11 ↓ (3.38)	3.85 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derthona
46.9%

Draw
29.4%

Celle Varazze
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

26.9%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

26.4%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derthona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Celle Varazze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derthona than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celle Varazze than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Derthona - Celle Varazze Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: )).

Derthona has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Celle Varazze is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Derthona is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Derthona won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Derthona FbC	6	3	2	1	7:6	1	11
18	Celle Varazze	6	0	0	6	1:13	-12	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derthona FBC
Italian Serie D - Group A
28.03.26	NovaRomentin - Derthona	0:3 ✺
22.03.26	Derthona - Asti	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Cairese - Derthona	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Derthona - Biellese	0:3 ✺
22.02.26	Lavagnese - Derthona	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTLLW
- Celle Varazze
Italian Serie D - Group A
29.03.26	Asti - Celle Varazze	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Celle Varazze - Unione Sanremo	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Biellese - Celle Varazze	6:1 ✺
01.03.26	Celle Varazze - NovaRomentin	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	Chisola - Celle Varazze	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
23.11.25	Celle Varazze - Derthona	0:2

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