Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 2

Date: 7 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Municipal de Barreiro (Vigo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	CMM TV, Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Celta de Vigo B		CD Guadalajara

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.3	4
	1.78	3.4	3.75
	1.85	3.45	3.85
	1.85	3.68	3.93
	2.02	3.29	3.64	Watch
	1.85	3.44	3.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.22)	3.43 ↑ (3.16)	3.86 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celta de Vigo B
49.4%

Draw
26.8%

CD Guadalajara
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

28.9%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

27.6%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celta de Vigo B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Celta de Vigo B's performance.

CD Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and CD Guadalajara might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo B than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Celta de Vigo B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Celta de Vigo B - CD Guadalajara Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Celta de Vigo B (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Celta de Vigo B (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Carrillo J. B. (G) 2. Gavian P. 6. Meixus P. 26. Rodriguez A. 18. Lopez J. 7. Gonzalez H. 16. Capdevila A. 19. Marcos O. 5. Burcio H. 11. Arcos A. 9. Marin A.	1. Zarco A. (G) 16. Cera 4. Ablanque J. 23. Casado J. 18. Martinez J. 17. Gil A. 14. Tavares R. 20. Diaz B. 6. Rojo P. 7. Neskes 9. Canizo A.
Substitutes
30. Barreiros I. 21. Bilbao L. 13. Caio Barone (G) 10. de la Iglesia D. 25. Gonzalez M. (G) 23. Miller G. 28. Noya D. 14. Oliveras J. 27. Rodriguez N. 17. Somuah B. 20. Tarba I.	11. Alvarez U. 8. Calvo T. 24. Caropitche S. M. 5. Gallardo D. 19. Munoz P. 15. Rodriguez V. 22. Samuel 13. Vicente D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Capdevila A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Canizo A. 🟨,
62', Gil A. ↓, Caropitche S. M. ↑,
62', Neskes ↓, Munoz P. ↑,
62', Marin A. ↓, Somuah B. ↑,
67', Martinez J. 🟨,
68', Gonzalez H. 🟨,
75', Diaz B. ↓, Alvarez U. ↑,
75', Marcos O. ↓, Bilbao L. ↑,
75', Capdevila A. ↓, de la Iglesia D. ↑,
84', Canizo A. 🟨,
89', 0 - 1, Ablanque J. ⚽,
90+1', Burcio H. ↓, Miller G. ↑,
90+1', Gavian P. ↓, Barreiros I. ↑,
90+2', Tavares R. ↓, Calvo T. ↑,
90+2', Cera ↓, Gallardo D. ↑,
90+10', Lopez J. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Celta de Vigo B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Celta de Vigo B is the team to beat.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celta de Vigo B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
30.08.25	Zamora - Celta de Vigo B	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
23.08.25	Ferrol - Celta de Vigo B	0:3 ✺
17.08.25	Celta de Vigo B - Ourense CF	1:2 ✺
13.08.25	UD Ourense - Celta de Vigo B	1:2 ✺
09.08.25	Celta de Vigo B - Bergantiños	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWLWL
- CD Guadalajara
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
31.08.25	CD Guadalajara - Tenerife	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
24.08.25	CD Guadalajara - Atlético Madrid B	0:1 ✺
19.08.25	Marchamalo - CD Guadalajara	0:0 ✺
13.08.25	Alcalá - CD Guadalajara	2:2 ✺
06.08.25	Utebo - CD Guadalajara	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLTTW

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