Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 25

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Municipal da Malata (Ferrol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Ferrol		Celta de Vigo B

	1	X	2
	2.05	3	3.4
	2.1	3.05	3.45
	2.12	3.19	3.49
	2.1	3.31	3.44	Watch
	2.1	2.9	3.3
	2.09	3.02	3.45
	2.25	3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.11)	3.07 ↓ (3.27)	3.36 ↓ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrol
43.1%

Draw
29.7%

Celta de Vigo B
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

28.4%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

28.9%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Celta de Vigo B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo B than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Ferrol - Celta de Vigo B Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Parera P. M. (G) 3. Pujol E. 4. Artetxe M. 15. Zalaya A. 17. Ramon A. 8. Gorostidi A. 6. Gonzalez F. 7. Alvaro J. 10. Pascu 20. Gimenez A. (C) 11. Dacosta R.	1. Carrillo J. B. (G) 3. Ribes K. 6. Meixus P. (C) 4. Vazquez J. 23. Miller G. 16. Capdevila A. 32. Khayat A. 7. Gonzalez H. 19. Marcos O. 10. de la Iglesia D. 9. Marin A.
Substitutes
19. Azkune E. 18. Concha D. 25. Diaz L. (G) 9. Escobar A. 13. Fernandez C. G. (G) 24. Garcia A. 16. Garcia S. 22. Mardones A. 5. Noriega J. 21. Tavares M. 14. Tejera S.	8. Antanon A. 11. Arcos A. 21. Bilbao L. 13. Caio Barone (G) 25. Gonzalez M. (G) 37. Kibet A. 22. Ndiaye S. M. 14. Oliveras J. 27. Rodriguez N. 29. Sobral M. 17. Somuah B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Alvaro J. ⚽,
8', Zalaya A. 🟥,
16', Dacosta R. ↓, Mardones A. ↑,
17', 1 - 1, Marin A. ⚽,
30', Gonzalez H. 🟨,
33', Meixus P. 🟨,
34', Khayat A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Khayat A. ↓, Kibet A. ↑,
46', Capdevila A. ↓, Antanon A. ↑,
46', Meixus P. ↓, Oliveras J. ↑,
64', Miller G. 🟥,
71', Gimenez A. ↓, Concha D. ↑,
71', Gonzalez F. ↓, Escobar A. ↑,
71', Alvaro J. ↓, Tejera S. ↑,
74', Tejera S. 🟨,
75', Marcos O. ↓, Arcos A. ↑,
78', Pujol E. 🟨,
80', Gonzalez H. ↓, Bilbao L. ↑,
86', Bilbao L. 🟨,
89', Pascu ↓, Azkune E. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 2, Marin A. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferrol won 1.

In recent matches, Ferrol has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Celta de Vigo B is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ferrol could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ferrol won 13 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 35:18. (average 1.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ferrol won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:9. (average 2.6:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Racing Club Ferrol	6	3	1	2	7:5	2	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
14.02.26	Tenerife - Ferrol	0:1 ✺
07.02.26	Ferrol - Lugo	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Zamora - Ferrol	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Ferrol - Arenteiro	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	Ponferradina - Ferrol	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WTLWL
- Celta de Vigo B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
15.02.26	Celta de Vigo B - Real Avilés	4:2 ✺
08.02.26	Ponferradina - Celta de Vigo B	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Celta de Vigo B - Unionistas de Salamanca	2:0 ✺
23.01.26	Celta de Vigo B - Zamora	3:3 ✺
17.01.26	Talavera de la Reina - Celta de Vigo B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
25.10.25	Celta de Vigo B - Ferrol	2:1
Club Friendly
23.08.25	Ferrol - Celta de Vigo B	0:3
10.08.24	Celta de Vigo B - Ferrol	2:2
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.05.23	Ferrol - Celta de Vigo B	2:0
07.01.23	Celta de Vigo B - Ferrol	1:0
21.05.22	Celta de Vigo B - Ferrol	0:1
19.11.21	Ferrol - Celta de Vigo B	5:0

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