The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Celta de Vigo B 45.6%
Draw 28.5%
Ourense CF 25.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.6%
23.9%
18.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.2%
23.3%
18.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Celta de Vigo B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Celta de Vigo B's form might have worsened.
Ourense CF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ourense CF's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo B than the current prediction. (+13.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Celta de Vigo B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ourense CF, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Celta de Vigo B - Ourense CF Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Celta de Vigo B (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Celta de Vigo B (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Carrillo J. B. (G) 2. Gavian P. 6. Meixus P. 26. Rodriguez A. 18. Lopez J. 7. Gonzalez H. 8. Antanon A. 16. Capdevila A. 19. Marcos O. 11. Arcos A. 9. Marin A.
1. Raton A. (G) 12. Jelbat A. 5. Prado M. 4. Carmona F. 22. Yuste A. 3. Sanz H. 21. Guerrero A. 8. Ramos J. 16. Munoz D. 17. Ouhdadi O. 7. Bouzaig A.
Substitutes
31. Arceo C. 21. Bilbao L. 5. Burcio H. 13. Caio Barone (G) 23. Miller G. 22. Ndiaye S. M. 27. Rodriguez N. 29. Sobral M. 20. Tarba I. 4. Vazquez J.
11. Aranzabe A. 10. Camus M. 6. Castillo N. 2. Coto E. 19. Garcia D. 20. Gueye L. 24. Moreno C. 14. Perez A. 15. Piera J. 23. Punzano I. 13. Sanchez Vivas A. (G) 9. Vazquez K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Ramos J. 🟨,
22', Yuste A. 🟨,
33', Yuste A. ↓, Moreno C. ↑,
39', Capdevila A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Marin A. ↓, Burcio H. ↑,
57', Capdevila A. ↓, Tarba I. ↑,
65', Guerrero A. ↓, Camus M. ↑,
65', Ramos J. ↓, Castillo N. ↑,
65', Munoz D. ↓, Punzano I. ↑,
70', Gavian P. ↓, Miller G. ↑,
72', 🟨,
76', Ouhdadi O. 🟨,
80', Ouhdadi O. ↓, Aranzabe A. ↑,
84', Prado M. 🟨,
89', 🟨,
90+1', Gonzalez H. ↓, Bilbao L. ↑,
90+1', Arcos A. ↓, Arceo C. ↑,
90+5', Burcio H. 🟥,
90+12', Bouzaig A. 🟨,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
Celta de Vigo B is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Ourense CF has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Ourense CF may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Celta de Vigo B is a strong favorite.
We predict that Celta de Vigo B will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Celta de Vigo B won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Celta de Vigo B won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
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Carrillo J. B. (G) 
Jelbat A. 
Ramos J. 
Caio Barone (G) 
Miller G. 
Ndiaye S. M. 
Tarba I. 
Vazquez K. 
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