Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 28

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday

Location: Municipal de Barreiro (Vigo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+, RTVE Play, Teledeporte, TV Canaria
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Celta de Vigo B		Tenerife

	1	X	2
	3.6	2.9	2
	3.6	3	2.05
	3.92	3.05	2.09
	3.86	3.19	2.01	Watch
	3.6	2.8	2.05
	3.85	2.86	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.74 ↑ (3.26)	2.97 ↓ (3.25)	2.04 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celta de Vigo B
24.4%

Draw
30.8%

Tenerife
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

28.1%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

28.3%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celta de Vigo B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Tenerife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo B than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	10%	80%

Celta de Vigo B - Tenerife Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Celta de Vigo B (votes: 1 - 25%). Tenerife (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Users Predictions: Tenerife will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Carrillo J. B. (G) 2. Gavian P. 6. Meixus P. (C) 26. Rodriguez A. 3. Ribes K. 7. Gonzalez H. 16. Capdevila A. 8. Antanon A. 14. Oliveras J. 19. Marcos O. 17. Somuah B.	1. Martin D. (G) 19. Alvarez C. 12. Landazuri A. 4. Leon J. 2. Rodriguez D. 14. Lopez N. 15. Fabricio 6. Juanjo 20. Manjam A. 18. Enric (C) 10. Gil N.
Substitutes
31. Arceo C. 11. Arcos A. 21. Bilbao L. 13. Caio Barone (G) 25. Gonzalez M. (G) 18. Lopez J. 23. Miller G. 28. Noya D. 35. Perez-Lafuente J. 36. Prado M. 4. Vazquez J.	17. Balde M. 9. de Miguel J. 29. Fernandez D. 13. Lozano de Vuyst G. (G) 11. Mesa M. 7. Montes C. 27. Ulloa A. 22. Valles G. 5. Yaakobishvili A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ribes K. ↓, Arcos A. ↑,
46', Oliveras J. ↓, Miller G. ↑,
49', 1 - 0, Rodriguez A. ⚽,
57', Manjam A. ↓, Balde M. ↑,
64', Somuah B. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
70', Gil N. ↓, Valles G. ↑,
70', Enric ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
72', Marcos O. 🟨,
82', Gonzalez H. ↓, Perez-Lafuente J. ↑,
83', Carrillo J. B. 🟨,
83', Landazuri A. 🟨,
84', Lopez N. ↓, Montes C. ↑,
84', Rodriguez D. ↓, de Miguel J. ↑,
89', Marcos O. ↓, Bilbao L. ↑,
90+3', Antanon A. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 1, de Miguel J. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Tenerife will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Celta de Vigo B won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Tenerife - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 43.93%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celta de Vigo B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
08.03.26	CD Guadalajara - Celta de Vigo B	3:0 ✺
28.02.26	Celta de Vigo B - Mérida AD	1:1 ✺
20.02.26	Ferrol - Celta de Vigo B	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Celta de Vigo B - Real Avilés	4:2 ✺
08.02.26	Ponferradina - Celta de Vigo B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LTWWT
- CD Tenerife
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
07.03.26	Tenerife - Lugo	1:1 ✺
27.02.26	Tenerife - Real Avilés	2:2 ✺
21.02.26	Arenteiro - Tenerife	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Tenerife - Ferrol	0:1 ✺
07.02.26	Athletic Bilbao B - Tenerife	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
15.11.25	Tenerife - Celta de Vigo B	4:0
Club Friendly
11.08.18	Tenerife - Celta de Vigo B	1:0 penalties

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