Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP E - ROUND 17

Date: 20 December 2023, Wednesday


	Cenaia		Mobilieri Ponsacco

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.25	2.8
	2.25	3.2	2.82
	1.95	3.4	3
	2.22	3.44	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (1.97)	3.32 ↓ (3.5)	2.87 ↓ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cenaia
41.7%

Draw
27%

Mobilieri Ponsacco
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

25.9%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

24.8%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cenaia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Mobilieri Ponsacco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cenaia than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cenaia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mobilieri Ponsacco than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Cenaia - Mobilieri Ponsacco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Cenaia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Cenaia will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Cenaia
Italian Serie D - Group E
17.12.23	Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano - Cenaia	3:1 ✺
10.12.23	Cenaia - Poggibonsi	3:0 ✺
03.12.23	SanGiovanniValdarno - Cenaia	1:0 ✺
26.11.23	Cenaia - Trestina	1:5 ✺
19.11.23	Livorno - Cenaia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWLLL
- Mobilieri Ponsacco
Italian Serie D - Group E
10.12.23	Follonica Gavorrano - Mobilieri Ponsacco	1:0 ✺
03.12.23	Mobilieri Ponsacco - Tau Altopascio	2:2 ✺
26.11.23	Seravezza Pozzi - Mobilieri Ponsacco	5:2 ✺
19.11.23	Mobilieri Ponsacco - Grosseto	1:1 ✺
15.11.23	Mobilieri Ponsacco - Montevarchi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LTLTL

Cenaia - Mobilieri Ponsacco: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide