Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP E - ROUND 10

Date: 15 November 2023, Wednesday


	Mobilieri Ponsacco		Montevarchi

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.1	1.98
	3.4	3.2	2.02
	3.4	3.14	2.03
	3.3	3.1	1.91
	3.46	3.1	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↑ (2.5)	3.13 ↑ (3)	2 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mobilieri Ponsacco
26.5%

Draw
28.6%

Montevarchi
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

29.8%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

29.1%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mobilieri Ponsacco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mobilieri Ponsacco's form might have worsened.

Montevarchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Montevarchi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mobilieri Ponsacco than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mobilieri Ponsacco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevarchi than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Montevarchi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mobilieri Ponsacco - Montevarchi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: ) and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )).

Mobilieri Ponsacco has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Montevarchi is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Montevarchi will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mobilieri Ponsacco
Italian Serie D - Group E
12.11.23	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro - Mobilieri Ponsacco	1:1 ✺
01.11.23	Orvietana - Mobilieri Ponsacco	3:2 ✺
29.10.23	Mobilieri Ponsacco - Pianese	1:3 ✺
22.10.23	San Donato Tavarnelle - Mobilieri Ponsacco	1:0 ✺
15.10.23	Mobilieri Ponsacco - Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLLLL
- Montevarchi Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group E
12.11.23	Montevarchi - Pianese	1:3 ✺
01.11.23	Montevarchi - Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano	1:2 ✺
28.10.23	Trestina - Montevarchi	1:0 ✺
22.10.23	Montevarchi - Poggibonsi	2:0 ✺
15.10.23	Figline - Montevarchi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLLWT

Mobilieri Ponsacco - Montevarchi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide