The best margin for this event is 10.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Follonica Gavorrano 66.9%
Draw 20.6%
Mobilieri Ponsacco 12.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
68.1%
19.8%
12.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
72.1%
18.7%
11.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Follonica Gavorrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Mobilieri Ponsacco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Follonica Gavorrano than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Follonica Gavorrano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mobilieri Ponsacco than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).
Recent matches Follonica Gavorrano is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Mobilieri Ponsacco is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Follonica Gavorrano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Follonica Gavorrano is absolute favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Follonica Gavorrano won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Follonica Gavorrano won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
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