The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Central Ballester 35.6%
Draw 31%
Juventud Unida de San Miguel 33.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.4%
31.5%
28.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.2%
30.2%
26.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Central Ballester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
Juventud Unida de San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juventud Unida de San Miguel's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Ballester than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Central Ballester, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventud Unida de San Miguel than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juventud Unida de San Miguel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Central Ballester - Juventud Unida de San Miguel Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Central Ballester won 2.
Central Ballester has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Juventud Unida is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Central Ballester may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Central Ballester is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Central Ballester won 5 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1.1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Central Ballester won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.1:0.9).
Last Results with these Odds
Juventud Unida de San Miguel - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 28.1%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
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