Match Info

Premier League - Round 10

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Mongolia	13:00	MNB Sports


	Central Stallions		Ulaanbaatar

	1	X	2
	2.52	4.32	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (2.88)	4.32 ↓ (4.4)	2.21 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Stallions
36.7%

Draw
21.4%

Ulaanbaatar
41.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.9%

20.9%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

20.1%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Stallions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Ulaanbaatar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ulaanbaatar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Stallions than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Central Stallions that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulaanbaatar than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ulaanbaatar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Central Stallions - Ulaanbaatar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+1', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Premier League (Winners stage: ) and 1st in the Promotion - Premier League (Winners stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Central Stallions won 2.

Central Stallions has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Ulaanbaatar is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Ulaanbaatar holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Central Stallions has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:10 (averaging 1:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Central Stallions against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 2:5 goals (averaging 0.7:1.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Ulaanbaatar	9	8	1	0	40:4	36	25
2	Central Stallions	9	7	0	2	29:10	19	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central Stallions FC
Mongolian Premier League
18.10.26	Ulaanbaatar - Central Stallions	2:0 ✺
11.10.26	Central Stallions - Deren	2:1 ✺
04.10.26	Central Stallions - Khovd Western	8:4 ✺
01.10.26	Khaan Khuns-Erchim - Central Stallions	1:4 ✺
17.09.26	Central Stallions - Hunters	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWWW
- FC Ulaanbaatar
Mongolian Premier League
18.10.26	Ulaanbaatar - Central Stallions	2:0 ✺
14.10.26	Ulaanbaatar - Khovd Western	8:0 ✺
30.09.26	Khovd - Ulaanbaatar	0:4 ✺
27.09.26	Ulaanbaatar - Hunters	5:3 ✺
20.09.26	Amtat - Ulaanbaatar	0:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Mongolian Premier League
18.10.26	Ulaanbaatar - Central Stallions	2:0
30.06.26	Ulaanbaatar - Central Stallions	2:3
21.06.26	Central Stallions - Ulaanbaatar	0:3
17.06.26	Central Stallions - Ulaanbaatar	1:0
02.11.25	Ulaanbaatar - Central Stallions	1:1
18.04.24	Central Stallions - Ulaanbaatar	1:2

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