Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Relegation Group - Round 2

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Jan Breydel Stadion (Brugge)

Referee: Vergoote J. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1
Netherlands	Sporza


	Cercle Brugge		Beerschot Wilrijk

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.5	7	Watch
	1.44	4.6	7
	1.42	4.55	7.1
	1.45	4.5	7.37
	1.5	4.65	6.72	Watch
	1.42	4.55	7.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.56)	4.56 ↑ (4.2)	7.05 ↑ (5.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cercle Brugge
65.8%

Draw
20.8%

Beerschot Wilrijk
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

22.5%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

21.8%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cercle Brugge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Beerschot Wilrijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cercle Brugge than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beerschot Wilrijk than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Cercle Brugge - Beerschot Wilrijk Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.25 - Beerschot Wilrijk (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Cercle Brugge will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cercle Brugge will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Cercle Brugge (votes: 3 - 75%). Beerschot Wilrijk (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Delanghe M. (G) 2. Diakite I. 5. Perrin L. 66. Ravych C. 3. Utkus E. 28. van der Bruggen H. 30. Bruninho 20. Nazinho 6. Agyekum L. 34. Somers T. (C) 77. Ngoura S.	71. Matijas D. (G) 28. Weymans M. 66. Tolis 5. Mbe Soh L. (C) 6. Fayed O. 20. Sahabo H. 16. Al Ghamdi F. 8. Henderson E. 25. Colassin A. 77. van La Parra R. 17. Al Sahafi M.
Substitutes
13. Brunner P. 27. De Wilde N. 7. Efekele M. 8. Erick 10. Felipe Augusto 23. Jurado H. 90. Kakou E. 15. Magnee G. 1. Warleson (G)	30. Huiberts D. 42. Martha A. 4. Plat B. 10. Redan D. 7. Reyners T. 33. Shinton N. (G) 26. Tshimanga D. 11. van der Kust D. 32. Wright-Phillips D.
Coaches
De Wulf J.	Kuyt D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Somers T. ⚽, Perrin L. (A),
26', Nazinho 🟨,
38', Utkus E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Fayed O. ↓, Plat B. ↑,
62', Bruninho ↓, Erick ↑,
72', Colassin A. ↓, Redan D. ↑,
72', van La Parra R. ↓, Martha A. ↑,
72', Nazinho ↓, Brunner P. ↑,
72', Agyekum L. ↓, Felipe Augusto ↑,
72', Ngoura S. ↓, Magnee G. ↑,
86', Utkus E. ↓, Kakou E. ↑,
87', 1 - 1, Redan D. ⚽, Matijas D. (A),
90+5', 2 - 1, Perrin L. ⚽, Magnee G. (A),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cercle Brugge won 4.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

In this match Cercle Brugge is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Cercle Brugge: Francis A. (Red Card) Miangue S. (Knee Injury) Ouattara A. K. (Broken Leg)

There will not play in Beerschot Wilrijk: Cagro W. (Red Card) Sanusi R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Cercle Brugge: Gomis D. (Hamstring Injury) Minda A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Beerschot Wilrijk: Fayed O. (Inactive)

Last 15 head-to-head matches Cercle Brugge won 10 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 31:15 (average 2.1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Cercle Brugge won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19:7 (average 2.4:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cercle Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
30.03.25	Kortrijk - Cercle Brugge	2:2 ✺
16.03.25	Anderlecht - Cercle Brugge	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.03.25	Cercle Brugge - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
09.03.25	Cercle Brugge - Club Brugge	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.03.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Cercle Brugge	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLWLL
- FCO Beerschot Wilrijk
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
29.03.25	Beerschot Wilrijk - Sint-Truidense	0:1 ✺
16.03.25	Beerschot Wilrijk - Westerlo	1:2 ✺
07.03.25	Sint-Truidense - Beerschot Wilrijk	2:0 ✺
02.03.25	Beerschot Wilrijk - KV Mechelen	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Dender EH - Beerschot Wilrijk	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
01.12.24	Beerschot Wilrijk - Cercle Brugge	3:2
11.08.24	Cercle Brugge - Beerschot Wilrijk	4:1
Belgian Cup
09.11.22	Cercle Brugge - Beerschot Wilrijk	3:1
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
19.02.22	Cercle Brugge - Beerschot Wilrijk	2:0
27.07.21	Beerschot Wilrijk - Cercle Brugge	0:1
04.04.21	Cercle Brugge - Beerschot Wilrijk	2:1
13.01.21	Beerschot Wilrijk - Cercle Brugge	1:1

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