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Current Win Probability
Beerschot Wilrijk 25.9%
Draw 27.1%
KV Mechelen 47%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.7%
25.5%
49.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.2%
25%
48.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Beerschot Wilrijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
KV Mechelen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beerschot Wilrijk than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
25%
58.3%
Beerschot Wilrijk - KV Mechelen Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Beerschot Wilrijk will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Mechelen will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Mechelen: 30.4% – 86.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Shinton N. (G) 2. Dagba C. 66. Tolis 5. Mbe Soh L. (C) 11. van der Kust D. 20. Sahabo H. 16. Al Ghamdi F. 8. Henderson E. 47. Cagro W. 77. van La Parra R. 10. Redan D.
1. De Wolf O. (G) 4. Raemaekers T. 32. Ouattara A. 6. Touba A. 17. Belghali R. 33. Hammar F. 16. Schoofs R. (C) 3. Marsa J. 19. Mrabti K. 11. Storm N. 20. Lauberbach L.
Substitutes
17. Al Sahafi M. 25. Colassin A. 9. Kosiah A. 71. Matijas D. (G) 55. Nzouango F. 7. Reyners T. 26. Tshimanga D. 28. Weymans M. 32. Wright-Phillips D.
38. Antonio B. 35. Bafdili B. 10. Dahl P. 23. Foulon D. 27. Kiki 22. Miras N. (G) 9. Ngoy J. 77. Pflucke P. 21. Welsh S.
Coaches
Kuyt D.
Hasi B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Cagro W. 🟨,
30', Henderson E. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Cagro W. ⚽, Henderson E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Marsa J. ↓, Welsh S. ↑,
46', Ouattara A. ↓, Foulon D. ↑,
46', Shinton N. 🟥,
49', Cagro W. ↓, Matijas D. ↑,
54', Schoofs R. 🟨,
60', Mrabti K. (Pen),
60', Raemaekers T. ↓, Antonio B. ↑,
62', Redan D. ↓, Weymans M. ↑,
62', van der Kust D. ↓, Al Sahafi M. ↑,
62', Al Ghamdi F. ↓, Tshimanga D. ↑,
71', Mrabti K. ↓, Bafdili B. ↑,
81', Storm N. ↓, Dahl P. ↑,
86', Belghali R. 🟨,
90', Dahl P. 🟨,
90+2', Welsh S. 🟨,
90+5', Lauberbach L. 🟨,
90+11', 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).
Beerschot Wilrijk is Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group )
Last 5 head-to-head matches Beerschot Wilrijk won 1.
Beerschot Wilrijk is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Mechelen is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Mechelen will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Beerschot Wilrijk: Plat B.
(Yellow Cards)
Sanusi R.
(Injury)
There will not play in Mechelen: Van Cleemput J.
(Hip Injury)
Van den Eynden B.
(Muscle Injury)
Vanheusden Z.
(Hernia)
Last 13 head-to-head matches Beerschot Wilrijk won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 12:20 (average 0.9:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Beerschot Wilrijk won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:6 (average 0.7:0.9).
Belgium
Netherlands
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Shinton N. (G) 
Dagba C. 
Tolis 
van der Kust D. 
Sahabo H. 
Al Ghamdi F. 
Henderson E. 
van La Parra R. 
Ouattara A. 
Touba A. 
Hammar F. 
Marsa J. 
Lauberbach L. 
Kosiah A. 
Matijas D. (G) 
Weymans M. 
Wright-Phillips D. 
Antonio B. 
Dahl P. 
Hasi B. 
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