Match Info

Date: 17 September 2022, Saturday

Location: Jan Breydel Stadion (Brugge)

Referee: Lardot J. (Bel)


	Cercle Brugge		Oostende

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.4	4.33	Watch
	1.9	3.6	4
	1.87	3.8	3.95
	1.87	3.5	3.85
	1.89	3.89	4.01
	1.86	3.68	3.98	Watch
	1.9	3.6	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.84)	3.64 ↓ (3.72)	4.01 ↑ (3.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cercle Brugge
50.4%

Draw
26%

Oostende
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

25.3%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

26.9%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cercle Brugge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

The chances for Oostende have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cercle Brugge than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oostende than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	12.5%	54.2%

Cercle Brugge - Oostende Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Cercle Brugge will win (votes: 8 - 33.3%). Oostende will win (votes: 13 - 54.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oostende: 34.3% – 74.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Challenger Pro League and 13).

Cercle Brugge has the most likely position - 14 (12.08%), has project points - 36, has currently - 5, has a chance of relegated (29%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Oostende has the most likely position - 14 (12.63%), has project points - 37, has currently - 9, has a chance of relegated (24%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 34, importance 36, match rating 35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cercle Brugge won 1.

The competitors look crappy now.

Cercle Brugge could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cercle Brugge is a favorite.

There will not play in Cercle Brugge: David (Knee Injury) Utkus E. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Oostende: Capon B. (Injury) D'Arpino M. (Knee Injury) Schelfhout J. (Knee Injury)

Last 17 head-to-head matches Cercle Brugge won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 17-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Cercle Brugge won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cercle Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
11.09.22	Cercle Brugge - Royal Antwerp	0:2 ✺
02.09.22	Club Brugge - Cercle Brugge	4:0 ✺
27.08.22	Cercle Brugge - Zulte Waregem	1:1 ✺
20.08.22	Genk - Cercle Brugge	2:1 ✺
13.08.22	Cercle Brugge - KV Mechelen	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLTLT
- KV Oostende
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
10.09.22	Oostende - Eupen	1:0 ✺
03.09.22	Standard Liège - Oostende	1:0 ✺
27.08.22	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Oostende	2:1 ✺
20.08.22	Oostende - Sint-Truidense	0:1 ✺
12.08.22	Oostende - Gent	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
29.01.22	Cercle Brugge - Oostende	0:1
16.10.21	Oostende - Cercle Brugge	2:1
18.04.21	Oostende - Cercle Brugge	1:1
Belgian Cup
09.02.21	Cercle Brugge - Oostende	3:1
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
12.12.20	Cercle Brugge - Oostende	0:1
Club Friendly
01.08.20	Oostende - Cercle Brugge	3:1
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
03.08.19	Oostende - Cercle Brugge	3:1

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