Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 18

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Jan Breydel Stadion (Brugge)

Referee: van Damme K. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza


	Cercle Brugge		KV Mechelen

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.1	4.5	Watch
	1.62	4.1	4.85	Watch
	1.64	4.25	5.16
	1.63	4.21	4.98	Watch
	1.62	3.9	4.8
	1.68	4.1	4.81	Watch
	1.62	4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.83)	4.09 ↑ (3.75)	4.87 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cercle Brugge
57.6%

Draw
23%

KV Mechelen
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cercle Brugge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cercle Brugge's performance.

KV Mechelen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and KV Mechelen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cercle Brugge than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cercle Brugge that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	5.6%	38.9%

Cercle Brugge - KV Mechelen Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Cercle Brugge will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Mechelen will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cercle Brugge: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mechelen (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Mechelen (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Mechelen (3.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Mechelen (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Delanghe M. (G) 15. Magnee G. 5. Kakou E. 66. Ravych C. 20. Nazinho 28. van der Bruggen H. (C) 17. Adewumi O. 6. Agyekum L. 37. Diop E. 11. Minda A. 9. Ngoura S.	13. Miras N. (G) 33. St. Jago T. 8. Konate M. 18. Struyf I. 7. Koudou T. 29. Salifou D. 6. Hammar F. 17. Servais M. 19. Mrabti K. 20. Lauberbach L. 9. van Brederode M.
Substitutes
27. De Wilde N. 19. Diaby I. 2. Diakite I. 10. Diakite O. 18. Gerkens P. 23. Jurado H. 41. Kouassi K. 3. Utkus E. 1. Warleson (G)	38. Antonio B. 11. Bafdili B. 12. Bande H. 39. Decoene M. 4. Diouf G. 22. Golic L. 15. Van Ingelgom T. (G) 23. Zekri M.
Coaches
Cinel O.	Vanderbiest F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
28', Struyf I. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Hammar F. ⚽, Servais M. (A),
39', 0 - 2, Lauberbach L. ⚽, Servais M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Struyf I. ↓, Diouf G. ↑,
46', Minda A. ↓, Gerkens P. ↑,
47', 1 - 2, Nazinho ⚽, Agyekum L. (A),
49', 1 - 3, Diouf G. ⚽,
71', Diop E. ↓, Jurado H. ↑,
71', Agyekum L. ↓, Diakite O. ↑,
80', Salifou D. ↓, Bande H. ↑,
82', Adewumi O. ↓, Kouassi K. ↑,
82', Ngoura S. ↓, De Wilde N. ↑,
83', Ravych C. 🟨,
89', St. Jago T. 🟨,
90+1', Koudou T. ↓, Decoene M. ↑,
90+8', 2 - 3, Magnee G. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cercle Brugge won 2.

Cercle Brugge has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Mechelen has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cercle Brugge may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Cercle Brugge is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Cercle Brugge: Valy K. (Injury)

There will not play in Mechelen: De Wolf O. (Knee Injury) Halhal R. (Ankle Injury) Kiki (Surgery) Kireev M. (Muscle Injury) Teague R. (Knock)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cercle Brugge won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:28. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Cercle Brugge won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cercle Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
06.12.25	Cercle Brugge - Standard Liège	1:2 ✺
Belgian Cup
03.12.25	Cercle Brugge - Gent	1:3 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
29.11.25	Zulte Waregem - Cercle Brugge	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Saint-Gilloise - Cercle Brugge	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Cercle Brugge - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLL
- KV Mechelen
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
07.12.25	KV Mechelen - Charleroi	1:0 ✺
Belgian Cup
04.12.25	Charleroi - KV Mechelen	2:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
28.11.25	KV Mechelen - Standard Liège	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Genk - KV Mechelen	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	KV Mechelen - Saint-Gilloise	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
21.09.25	KV Mechelen - Cercle Brugge	0:0
12.01.25	Cercle Brugge - KV Mechelen	1:0
22.09.24	KV Mechelen - Cercle Brugge	2:0
02.03.24	Cercle Brugge - KV Mechelen	2:3
28.10.23	KV Mechelen - Cercle Brugge	0:2
23.12.22	KV Mechelen - Cercle Brugge	1:1
13.08.22	Cercle Brugge - KV Mechelen	0:0

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