Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 19

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday


	Cerdanyola del Vallès		Badalona

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.35	1.92
	3.32	3.51	2
	3.47	3.29	2.04	Watch
	3.25	3.25	2
	3.35	3.38	1.97
	3.5	3.4	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↓ (3.65)	3.36 ↑ (3.25)	1.98 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerdanyola del Vallès
26.9%

Draw
27%

Badalona
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

28%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

26.9%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerdanyola del Vallès has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Badalona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerdanyola del Vallès than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Badalona than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Cerdanyola del Vallès - Badalona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
29', 🟥,
34', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Pime ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
69', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 5 (Play Offs: )).

Recent performances by Cerdanyola have been up and down (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Badalona is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Badalona is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerdanyola won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Cerdanyola won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	CF Badalona	5	3	0	2	10:4	6	9
13	Cerdanyola	4	1	2	1	4:5	-1	5

Last Results with these Odds

Badalona - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 46.98%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerdanyola del Vallès FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
18.01.26	Montañesa - Cerdanyola del Vallès	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Can Vidalet	2:2 ✺
04.01.26	Peralada - Cerdanyola del Vallès	2:2 ✺
20.12.25	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Vic	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	LHospitalet - Cerdanyola del Vallès	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TTTTL
- CF Badalona
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
18.01.26	Badalona - Peralada	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Badalona - Vic	2:0 ✺
04.01.26	LHospitalet - Badalona	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Badalona - Manresa	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	CE Europa B - Badalona	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
14.09.25	Badalona - Cerdanyola del Vallès	1:0
19.01.25	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Badalona	1:2
08.09.24	Badalona - Cerdanyola del Vallès	2:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
13.02.22	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Badalona	0:0
26.09.21	Badalona - Cerdanyola del Vallès	1:1

Cerdanyola del Vallès - Badalona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide