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Current Win Probability
Badalona 42%
Draw 32.7%
Manresa 25.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47%
28%
25%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.8%
29.7%
23.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Badalona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
Manresa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Badalona than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Badalona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manresa than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Badalona - Manresa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Olmedo N. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, Gomez O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', 🟥,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 5 (Play Offs: )).
Badalona has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Manresa is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Badalona might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Badalona won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Badalona won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Badalona - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 46.98%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.