Match Info

WE League Women - Round 4

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Yodoko Sakura Stadium (Osaka) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Japan	14:00	DAZN Japan


	Cerezo Osaka		Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.10	2.95
	2.18	3.05	3
	2.32	3.1	3.17
	2.23	3.17	3.09	Watch
	2.25	2.95	3.1
	2.23	3.33	3.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.26)	3.12 (3.12)	3.07 ↓ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerezo Osaka
41%

Draw
29.3%

Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara
29.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.7%

29.5%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

28.3%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara than the current prediction. (-1%)

Cerezo Osaka - Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Tamamura M. ⚽, Wakisaka R. (A),
27', 1 - 1, Yoneda H. (Own goal),
41', 2 - 1, Takarada S. ⚽, Ogikubo Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 2 - 2, Yumura H. ⚽, Otake M. (A),

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 6th and 12th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 3.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Cerezo Osaka may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Cerezo Osaka holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Cerezo Osaka has recorded 10 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:19 (averaging 1.9:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Cerezo Osaka against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 15:9 goals (averaging 2.1:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	C-Osaka W	5	2	2	1	8:6	2	8
7	Nojima Stella W	6	2	2	2	6:11	-5	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerezo Osaka Women
Japan WE League Cup Women
11.10.26	Cerezo Osaka - Omiya Ardija	2:3 ✺
04.10.26	Albirex Niigata - Cerezo Osaka	1:2 ✺
27.09.26	Cerezo Osaka - NTV Beleza	1:4 ✺
23.09.26	Cerezo Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	3:0 ✺
19.09.26	Nagano Parceiro - Cerezo Osaka	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LWLWW
- Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara
Japan WE League Cup Women
10.10.26	JEF United Chiba - Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara	3:1 ✺
04.10.26	Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara - Omiya Ardija	1:2 penalties ✺
27.09.26	Nagano Parceiro - Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara	0:2 ✺
23.09.26	Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara - Chifure AS Elfen Saitama	1:2 penalties ✺
19.09.26	INAC Kobe Leonessa - Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan WE League Women
26.04.26	Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara - Cerezo Osaka	3:0
Japan WE League Cup Women
27.02.26	Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara - Cerezo Osaka	2:1
Japan Empress Cup Women
21.11.25	Cerezo Osaka - Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara	1:0
Japan WE League Cup Women
26.10.25	Cerezo Osaka - Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara	2:1
Japan WE League Women
24.08.25	Cerezo Osaka - Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara	2:0
19.04.25	Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara - Cerezo Osaka	0:2
15.09.24	Cerezo Osaka - Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara	3:1

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