Match Info

WE League Women - Round 5

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday ⏱️ In 2h 21m 📅 Remind Me

Location: Ajinomoto Stadium (Tokyo) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Japan	18:00	DAZN Japan


	NTV Beleza		Cerezo Osaka

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.90	4.80
	1.52	3.95	4.8
	1.56	4	5.02
	1.54	4.11	5.1	Watch
	1.47	3.85	4.9
	1.48	4.05	5.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.6)	3.98 ↑ (3.89)	5 ↑ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

NTV Beleza
59.4%

Draw
22.6%

Cerezo Osaka
18%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.5%

23.7%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

23%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NTV Beleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Cerezo Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NTV Beleza than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

NTV Beleza - Cerezo Osaka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 2nd and 6th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beleza won 5.

Beleza has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Cerezo Osaka have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Cerezo Osaka may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Beleza for this game.

Our forecast points to a victory for Beleza in today's match, at odds of 1.49.

In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Beleza has recorded 8 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 34:11 (averaging 3.1:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Beleza against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 9:5 goals (averaging 1.8:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Beleza W	5	4	0	1	14:8	6	12
6	C-Osaka W	5	2	2	1	8:6	2	8

Last Results with these Odds

NTV Beleza - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 57.54%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NTV Beleza
Japan WE League Women
23.10.26	NTV Beleza - Chifure AS Elfen Saitama	4:1 ✺
18.10.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - NTV Beleza	2:3 ✺
Japan WE League Cup Women
10.10.26	NTV Beleza - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	3:1 ✺
03.10.26	Urawa Red Diamonds - NTV Beleza	4:2 ✺
27.09.26	Cerezo Osaka - NTV Beleza	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWLW
- Cerezo Osaka Women
Japan WE League Women
25.10.26	Omiya Ardija - Cerezo Osaka	1:2 ✺
18.10.26	Cerezo Osaka - Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara	2:2 ✺
Japan WE League Cup Women
11.10.26	Cerezo Osaka - Omiya Ardija	2:3 ✺
04.10.26	Albirex Niigata - Cerezo Osaka	1:2 ✺
27.09.26	Cerezo Osaka - NTV Beleza	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan WE League Cup Women
27.09.26	Cerezo Osaka - NTV Beleza	1:4
Japan WE League Women
02.11.25	NTV Beleza - Cerezo Osaka	2:1
15.09.25	Cerezo Osaka - NTV Beleza	2:3
29.03.25	NTV Beleza - Cerezo Osaka	2:1
05.10.24	Cerezo Osaka - NTV Beleza	1:4
20.04.24	Cerezo Osaka - NTV Beleza	1:1
16.03.24	NTV Beleza - Cerezo Osaka	1:1

NTV Beleza - Cerezo Osaka