Match Info

Primavera 1 - Round 27

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Centro Sportivo Romagna Centro (Cesena)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sportitalia
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Cesena U20		Fiorentina U20

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.55	1.9
	3.38	3.62	2.01
	3.32	3.76	1.99	Watch
	3.2	3.25	1.95
	3.32	3.52	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (2.84)	3.54 ↓ (3.72)	1.96 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cesena U20
27.7%

Draw
25.8%

Fiorentina U20
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

25%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

24.2%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cesena U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cesena U20's form might have worsened.

Fiorentina U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cesena U20 than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina U20 than the current prediction. (-3%)

Cesena U20 - Fiorentina U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Fontana N. (G) 32. Abbondanza S. 7. Carbone A. . Casedei 5. Domeniconi R. 75. Galvagno F. 23. Poletti T. 31. Ribello F. 19. Ridolfi M. 17. Rossetti M. 10. Tosku F.	30. Fei G. (G) 80. Atzeni D. 31. Conti G. 64. Deli L. 18. Jallow S. 28. Mazzeo B. 62. Montenegro L. 10. Puzzoli G. 72. Sturli E. 19. Trapani N. 6. Turnone N.
Substitutes
33. Amadori E. 6. Baietta P. 28. Berti F. 30. Biguzzi R. 18. Casadei M. 12. Gianfanti S. (G) 26. Kebbeh M. 29. Lantignotti A. 16. Marini D. 21. Mattioli G. 34. Ricci G.	21. Angiolini G. 68. Bertolini G. 63. Bonanno P. 61. Braschi R. 1. Dolfi B. (G) 33. Evangelista C. 16. Keita B. 14. Kone M. 26. Melani F. 17. Perrotti A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Tosku F. ↓, Amadori E. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Atzeni D. ↓, Bertolini G. ↑,
57', 1 - 0, Rossetti M. ⚽,
59', Jallow S. ↓, Braschi R. ↑,
61', Conti G. 🟨,
62', Galvagno F. 🟨,
70', Amadori E. 🟨,
76', Sturli E. ↓, Angiolini G. ↑,
76', Rossetti M. ↓, Berti F. ↑,
76', Conti G. ↓, Evangelista C. ↑,
83', 🟨,
87', Ridolfi M. ↓, Marini D. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primavera 1 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primavera 1 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Cesena U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cesena U20 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.7:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Cesena U20 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Cesena U20	5	1	3	1	5:5	0	6
18	Fiorentina U20	5	0	3	2	5:7	-2	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cesena U20
Italian Primavera 1
14.02.26	Lecce U20 - Cesena U20	0:0 ✺
26.01.26	Cesena U20 - Verona U20	0:0 ✺
22.01.26	Bologna U20 - Cesena U20	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Cesena U20 - Frosinone U20	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Cesena U20 - Genoa U20	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TTTWL
- Fiorentina U20
Italian Primavera 1
21.02.26	Fiorentina U20 - Lazio U20	4:1 ✺
15.02.26	Verona U20 - Fiorentina U20	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Primavera
11.02.26	Sassuolo U20 - Fiorentina U20	1:0 ✺
Italian Primavera 1
24.01.26	Fiorentina U20 - Genoa U20	1:0 ✺
20.01.26	Parma U20 - Fiorentina U20	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Primavera 1
14.12.25	Fiorentina U20 - Cesena U20	2:1
31.03.25	Fiorentina U20 - Cesena U20	2:2
16.08.24	Cesena U20 - Fiorentina U20	2:3

Cesena U20 - Fiorentina U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide