Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 4

Date: 15 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube (Ceuta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Ceuta		Atlético Sanluqueño

	1	X	2
	1.48	3.9	5.75
	1.47	3.9	5.5
	1.5	4	6
	1.51	4.02	6.49
	1.49	3.89	6.28
	1.5	3.96	6.28
	1.5	4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.66)	3.95 ↑ (3.4)	6.04 ↑ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceuta
61.5%

Draw
23.2%

Atlético Sanluqueño
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

26.6%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

24.5%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ceuta's performance.

Atlético Sanluqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Sanluqueño than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Ceuta - Atlético Sanluqueño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Vallejo G. (G) 2. Delgado F. 6. Hernandez C. 3. Lolo Gonzalez 16. Redruello Nimo C. 8. Ramos D. 19. Jamelli 20. Escudero A. 10. Rodriguez C. 7. Ahmed A. 9. Rodri	13. Garcia-Alejo R. (G) 2. Garcia A. 24. Riera R. 17. Pavon A. 3. Martinez A. 7. Colau 15. Cuevas A. 10. Vacas L. 8. Carbonell P. 9. Valino A. 19. Valverde V.
Substitutes
22. Aguero 11. Aquino D. 5. Bellotti M. 14. Blesa Alex 25. Cantero Y. 18. El Ftouhi S. 15. Guzman J. 12. Herranz Corral V. 21. Lopez J. 1. Lopez P. (G) 28. Lozano D. 17. Taufek B. M.	14. El Arbaoui Y. 21. Feria J. 22. Gonzalez C. 23. Jose Enrique 18. Kikin 5. Puerto A. 4. Vega A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Carbonell P. ⚽,
22', Lolo Gonzalez 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
62', Colau ↓, Kikin ↑,
62', Vacas L. ↓, El Arbaoui Y. ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Aquino D. ⚽,
66', Jamelli ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
66', Escudero A. ↓, Taufek B. M. ↑,
68', Martinez A. ↓, Puerto A. ↑,
75', Redruello Nimo C. ↓, Guzman J. ↑,
75', Ahmed A. ↓, Aguero ↑,
78', 1 - 2, Valverde V. ⚽,
85', 🟨,
89', 2 - 2, Aquino D. ⚽,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

Ceuta is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Atlético Sanluqueño is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ceuta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ceuta is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Ceuta to win the game is with odds 1.49.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ceuta won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Ceuta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Ceuta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
08.09.24	Marbella - Ceuta	0:1 ✺
31.08.24	Ceuta - Fuenlabrada	1:0 ✺
24.08.24	Hércules - Ceuta	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.08.24	Linense - Ceuta	0:1 ✺
10.08.24	Ceuta - San Fernando	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWLWW
- Atlético Sanluqueño
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
08.09.24	Sevilla B - Atlético Sanluqueño	5:2 ✺
01.09.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Mérida AD	0:3 ✺
24.08.24	Atlético Madrid B - Atlético Sanluqueño	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Xerez CD	1:1 ✺
07.08.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Algeciras	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.03.24	Ceuta - Atlético Sanluqueño	3:0
25.11.23	Atlético Sanluqueño - Ceuta	1:1

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