Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 9

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube (Ceuta) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Rivera Olmedo O. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Mexico	08:15	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
Spain	16:15	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion


	Ceuta		Sabadell

	1	X	2
	3.30	2.82	2.32	Watch
	3.00	3.10	2.30
	3.00	3.10	2.25	Watch
	3.36	3.12	2.43
	3.17	3.14	2.39	Watch
	3.30	3.05	2.35
	3.36	2.93	2.42	Watch
	3.15	3.05	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↓ (3.3)	3.04 ↓ (3.3)	2.35 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceuta
29.3%

Draw
30.9%

Sabadell
39.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.2%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Sabadell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	28.6%	28.6%

Ceuta - Sabadell Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Ceuta will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Sabadell will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ceuta (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Ceuta (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ceuta (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Vallejo G. (G) 4. Caparros A. 6. Hernandez C. (C) 34. Mas D. 3. Matos Jose 19. Sevikyan E. 15. Gonzalez J. 32. Okoro C. 7. Camacho A. 9. Escobar J. 8. Zalazar K.	1. Fuoli D. (G) 14. Sanz O. 6. Gonzalez E. 5. Bonaldo 4. Codina M. 7. Ripoll T. 20. Orriols Cerarols A. (C) 21. Ribeiro A. 22. Liameed Q. 23. Priego J. 10. Baena Perez A.
Substitutes
26. Betancourt A. 14. Bodiger Y. 28. Bueno A. 10. Illescas M. 5. Lapena A. 1. Lopez P. (G) 20. Melendez A. 17. Mensah M. 18. Petxa A. 29. Sadik O. 11. Teguia C.	24. Aguilar Elizalde E. 27. Catala J. 9. Obolskiy N. 13. Ortega J. (G) 8. Pons P. 19. Rahmani Y. 33. Utges J. 12. Valles G. 25. Vidal Girona M. V. (G)
Coaches
Romero J.	Costa F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', Ripoll T. 🟨,
25', Escobar J. 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Baena Perez A. ⚽, Liameed Q. (A),
35', Mas D. ↓, Petxa A. ↑,
35', Gonzalez J. ↓, Illescas M. ↑,
44', Gonzalez E. 🟨,
45+5', 1 - 1, Escobar J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Codina M. ↓, Aguilar Elizalde E. ↑,
53', Gonzalez E. 🟨,
59', Ribeiro A. ↓, Catala J. ↑,
79', Camacho A. ↓, Bueno A. ↑,
80', Ripoll T. ↓, Rahmani Y. ↑,
80', Liameed Q. ↓, Pons P. ↑,
80', 1 - 2, Baena Perez A. ⚽, Pons P. (A),
85', Hernandez C. ↓, Melendez A. ↑,
85', Okoro C. ↓, Sadik O. ↑,
87', Baena Perez A. ↓, Obolskiy N. ↑,
88', Aguilar Elizalde E. 🟨,

Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 21st in the Relegation and 7th).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Sabadell could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Sabadell holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Ceuta: Anuar (Injury) Lapena A. (Injury) Mamah K. (Injury) Redruello Nimo C. (Injury) Teguia C. (Injury) Toni Abad (Injury).

Confirmed absences for Sabadell: Fornes G. (Injury) Gioacchini N. (Injury) Moreno X. (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Sabadell: Nuamah P. (Injury).

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Sabadell	11	4	5	2	11:9	2	17
21	Ceuta	11	1	2	8	10:25	-15	5

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga2 for now

Sabadell: 2.98%

Last Results with these Odds

Sabadell - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 43.6%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Ceuta
Spanish LaLiga2
04.10.26	Castellón - Ceuta	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.10.26	Betis - Ceuta	Canceled ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
26.09.26	Ceuta - Real Sociedad B	3:1 ✺
20.09.26	Ceuta - Valladolid	1:1 ✺
11.09.26	Burgos - Ceuta	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 T?WTL
- Sabadell FC
Spanish LaLiga2
04.10.26	Sabadell - FC Andorra	0:0 ✺
26.09.26	Celta de Vigo B - Sabadell	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Sabadell - Real Oviedo	3:1 ✺
13.09.26	Mallorca - Sabadell	2:0 ✺
07.09.26	Sabadell - Córdoba	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TTWLW

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