Match Info

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	Ceuta		Sabadell

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.2	2.01	Watch
	3.25	3.30	2.05
	3.3	3.2	2.1
	3.51	3.35	2.19
	3.48	3.32	2.13	Watch
	3.4	3.25	2.1
	3.49	3.51	2.13
	3.35	3.3	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↑ (3.3)	3.3 ↓ (3.3)	2.1 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceuta
27.4%

Draw
28.3%

Sabadell
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Sabadell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Sabadell aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Ceuta - Sabadell Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 21st in the Relegation and 7th).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Sabadell could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Sabadell holding a narrow advantage.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga2 for now

Sabadell: 3.19%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Sabadell	8	3	4	1	8:6	2	13
21	Ceuta	8	1	2	5	7:18	-11	5

Last Results with these Odds

Ceuta - the odds 3.3 are the expected chance of winning is 28.2%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Sabadell - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 43.6%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Ceuta
Spanish LaLiga2
04.10.26	Castellón - Ceuta	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.10.26	Betis - Ceuta	Canceled ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
26.09.26	Ceuta - Real Sociedad B	3:1 ✺
20.09.26	Ceuta - Valladolid	1:1 ✺
11.09.26	Burgos - Ceuta	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 T?WTL
- Sabadell FC
Spanish LaLiga2
04.10.26	Sabadell - FC Andorra	0:0 ✺
26.09.26	Celta de Vigo B - Sabadell	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Sabadell - Real Oviedo	3:1 ✺
13.09.26	Mallorca - Sabadell	2:0 ✺
07.09.26	Sabadell - Córdoba	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TTWLW

Ceuta - Sabadell: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide