Match Info

Date: 6 March 2022, Sunday


	Ceuta		Xerez Deportivo

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.2	4.6
	1.72	3.25	4.6
	1.82	3.1	4.2
	1.81	3.14	5.12
	1.79	3.25	4.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.56)	3.19 ↓ (3.47)	4.63 ↓ (5.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceuta
51.6%

Draw
28.7%

Xerez Deportivo
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

25.9%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4%

20.6%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ceuta's form might have worsened.

Xerez Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+20.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ceuta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xerez Deportivo than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Xerez Deportivo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ceuta - Xerez Deportivo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Ceuta is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Xerez Deportivo is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Ceuta is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ceuta won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Ceuta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Ceuta
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
27.02.22	Vélez - Ceuta	2:2 ✺
20.02.22	Ceuta - Montijo	0:0 ✺
13.02.22	Ceuta - Panadería Pulido	3:1 ✺
06.02.22	Las Palmas B - Ceuta	0:2 ✺
30.01.22	Ceuta - Mérida AD	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTWWL
- Xerez Deportivo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
27.02.22	Xerez Deportivo - Panadería Pulido	1:0 ✺
20.02.22	Las Palmas B - Xerez Deportivo	1:0 ✺
13.02.22	Xerez Deportivo - Mérida AD	1:1 ✺
06.02.22	Villanovense - Xerez Deportivo	2:0 ✺
02.02.22	San Roque de Lepe - Xerez Deportivo	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
17.10.21	Xerez Deportivo - Ceuta	2:2
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
14.02.21	Xerez Deportivo - Ceuta	3:0
10.02.19	Xerez Deportivo - Ceuta	4:2
07.10.18	Ceuta - Xerez Deportivo	0:3

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