Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 26Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday
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Ceuta B |
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Utrera |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.08 |
3.2 |
3.1 |
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2.09 |
3.26 |
3.18 |
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2.1 |
3.32 |
3.22 |
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2.08 |
3.2 |
3.27 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↑
(1.97) |
3.25 ↓
(3.34) |
3.19 ↓
(3.45) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Ceuta B
43.5% | Draw
28% | Utrera
28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ceuta B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Utrera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta B than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ceuta B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utrera than the current prediction. (-3.7%)Ceuta B - Utrera Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 90+12', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 90+12', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceuta B won 2.Ceuta B is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).In recent matches, Utrera has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).Utrera may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Ceuta B will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ceuta B won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.6:1.9).Including home matches between the teams, Ceuta B won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 2 | CD Utrera | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 12 |
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| 16 | Ceuta B | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:10 | -7 | 4 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Utrera - the odds 3.45 are the expected chance of winning is 26.41%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10 | | | 01.11.25 | Utrera - Ceuta B | 3:2 | | 08.03.25 | Utrera - Ceuta B | 4:3 | | 26.10.24 | Ceuta B - Utrera | 0:0 | | 09.03.24 | Ceuta B - Utrera | 3:0 | | 28.10.23 | Utrera - Ceuta B | 0:2 | | 23.01.22 | Ceuta B - Utrera | 1:2 | | 03.10.21 | Utrera - Ceuta B | 4:0 |
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