Match Info

National - Round 16

Date: 12 December 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	FFF TV
World	FIFA+


	Châteauroux		Dijon

	1	X	2
	4.15	3.3	1.82
	4.72	3.52	1.79
	4.36	3.41	1.75	Watch
	4.2	3.1	1.75
	4.13	3.24	1.83	Watch
	4.5	3.4	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.34 ↑ (3.77)	3.33 ↑ (3.28)	1.79 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Châteauroux
21.1%

Draw
27.5%

Dijon
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

28.2%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

27.2%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Châteauroux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Dijon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Châteauroux than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Châteauroux - Dijon Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Châteauroux will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Dijon will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Châteauroux (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Dijon (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Lavallee L. (G) 17. Magassa B. 4. Diarra D. 6. Kelo G. 12. Koembo J. 20. Bouaoune I. 22. Trinker T. 24. Goncalves A. 13. Jean C. 29. Zakouani H. 14. Verdier Y.	16. Delecroix P. (G) 23. Lacroix L. 6. Diouf W. 5. Bernard Q. 3. Khatir F. 21. Chouchane S. 8. Bellon P. 14. Marie J. (C) 17. Lembezat A. 11. Tavares J. 22. Domingues J.
Substitutes
7. Ahmed A. 27. Boussaid W. 23. Djaha A. 10. Freitas R. 19. Piquionne L.	10. Barka Y. 4. Barreto M. 35. Diaby Malick A. 18. Ndezi B. 29. Ntamack A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Bouaoune I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Zakouani H. 🟨,
63', Domingues J. ↓, Barka Y. ↑,
63', Bellon P. ↓, Ndezi B. ↑,
68', Verdier Y. ↓, Ahmed A. ↑,
76', Trinker T. ↓, Freitas R. ↑,
76', Jean C. ↓, Boussaid W. ↑,
80', Tavares J. ↓, Ntamack A. ↑,
80', Chouchane S. ↓, Barreto M. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Châteauroux won 2.

Châteauroux is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Dijon is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Dijon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Dijon is the team to beat.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Châteauroux won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Châteauroux won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.8:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Châteauroux
French Ligue 3
05.12.25	Fleury 91 - Châteauroux	0:0 ✺
Coupe De France
29.11.25	Fontenay - Châteauroux	4:1 ✺
French Ligue 3
21.11.25	Châteauroux - Versailles	1:3 ✺
07.11.25	Quevilly - Châteauroux	0:3 ✺
31.10.25	Châteauroux - Aubagne	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TLLWL
- Dijon FC
French Ligue 3
05.12.25	Dijon - Valenciennes	4:1 ✺
21.11.25	Sochaux - Dijon	0:1 ✺
07.11.25	Bourg-Péronnas - Dijon	1:2 ✺
31.10.25	Dijon - Fleury 91	0:1 ✺
21.10.25	Versailles - Dijon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
02.05.25	Châteauroux - Dijon	3:3
10.01.25	Dijon - Châteauroux	4:0
09.02.24	Dijon - Châteauroux	1:1
01.09.23	Châteauroux - Dijon	2:0
French Ligue 2
08.05.15	Dijon - Châteauroux	0:1
19.12.14	Châteauroux - Dijon	1:1
06.05.14	Dijon - Châteauroux	2:1

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