Match Info

National - Round 15

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	BFM Grand Lille, FFF TV
World	FIFA+


	Dijon		Valenciennes

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.35	4.05
	1.86	3.48	4.51
	1.79	3.34	4.25	Watch
	1.67	3.4	4
	1.82	3.28	4.08	Watch
	1.8	3.4	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 (1.79)	3.38 ↓ (3.39)	4.2 ↓ (4.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dijon
51.1%

Draw
27.1%

Valenciennes
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

27.3%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

26.3%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dijon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Valenciennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valenciennes than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Dijon - Valenciennes Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Dijon will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Delecroix P. (G) 7. Hamada B. 6. Diouf W. 5. Bernard Q. 3. Khatir F. 14. Marie J. (C) 8. Bellon P. 21. Chouchane S. 11. Tavares J. 17. Lembezat A. 22. Domingues J.	1. Louchet J. (G) 17. Diomande A. 32. Niakate S. 4. Landre L. 20. Koum Mbondo A. 26. Diomande D. 28. Wahib A. 22. Boissier R. 8. Rouai M. 18. Courtet G. (C) 11. Appuah S.
Substitutes
10. Barka Y. 4. Barreto M. 23. Lacroix L. 18. Ndezi B. 29. Ntamack A.	25. Belloumou S. 10. Ipiele A. 33. Marechal T. 14. Raheriniaina E. H. 13. Takaoka R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Domingues J. ⚽,
37', Landre L. ↓, Marechal T. ↑,
45', 2 - 0, Hamada B. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Rouai M. ↓, Belloumou S. ↑,
46', Diomande D. ↓, Raheriniaina E. H. ↑,
48', 3 - 0, Domingues J. ⚽, Chouchane S. (A),
56', Appuah S. ↓, Ipiele A. ↑,
61', Hamada B. ↓, Lacroix L. ↑,
62', Tavares J. ↓, Barka Y. ↑,
62', Lembezat A. ↓, Ndezi B. ↑,
62', Wahib A. ↓, Takaoka R. ↑,
72', Domingues J. ↓, Ntamack A. ↑,
73', Boissier R. 🟨,
74', 4 - 0, Barka Y. ⚽, Chouchane S. (A),
76', Marie J. ↓, Barreto M. ↑,
89', 4 - 1, Takaoka R. ⚽, Raheriniaina E. H. (A),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dijon won 2.

Dijon is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Valenciennes has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Dijon is considered a favorite.

We predict that Dijon will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Dijon won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Dijon won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dijon FC
French Ligue 3
21.11.25	Sochaux - Dijon	0:1 ✺
07.11.25	Bourg-Péronnas - Dijon	1:2 ✺
31.10.25	Dijon - Fleury 91	0:1 ✺
21.10.25	Versailles - Dijon	0:2 ✺
17.10.25	Dijon - Quevilly	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWLWW
- Valenciennes FC
French Ligue 3
21.11.25	Valenciennes - Fleury 91	0:2 ✺
07.11.25	Versailles - Valenciennes	1:1 ✺
31.10.25	Valenciennes - Quevilly	2:0 ✺
21.10.25	Aubagne - Valenciennes	1:1 ✺
17.10.25	Valenciennes - Concarneau	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
21.03.25	Dijon - Valenciennes	2:1
23.10.24	Valenciennes - Dijon	2:0
French Ligue 2
25.02.23	Valenciennes - Dijon	2:2
13.01.23	Dijon - Valenciennes	2:1
12.03.22	Valenciennes - Dijon	0:0
24.09.21	Dijon - Valenciennes	0:1
Coupe De France
05.01.20	Valenciennes - Dijon	1:2

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