The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Châteauroux 25.4%
Draw 27.2%
Le Puy 47.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.7%
29.5%
41.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Châteauroux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
Le Puy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Le Puy's recent form is better than expected.
Châteauroux - Le Puy Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Lavallee L. (G) 17. Magassa B. 4. Diarra D. (C) 29. Diakhaby L. 12. Koembo J. 22. Trinker T. 20. Bouaoune I. 39. Beneddine M. 7. Ahmed A. 9. Mupemba N. 27. Boussaid W.
30. Carvalho M. (G) 5. Zogba M. 25. Mohamed I. 6. Soualhia A. 7. Faty M. 8. Akkal S. 22. Xhemo R. (C) 26. Esmel H. 17. Bouleghcha I. 9. Adelaide M. 15. Rodrigues C.
Substitutes
24. Goncalves A. 6. Kelo G. 11. Konate A. 25. Traore G. 14. Verdier Y.
27. Diebold Y. 12. Doumbia C. 18. Gauthier A. 19. Ghalem T. 24. Nsingi P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Esmel H. 🟨,
32', Magassa B. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', Mupemba N. ↓, Konate A. ↑,
67', Adelaide M. ↓, Nsingi P. ↑,
70', 0 - 1, Xhemo R. ⚽, Nsingi P. (A),
76', 0 - 2, Rodrigues C. ⚽, Esmel H. (A),
77', Esmel H. ↓, Gauthier A. ↑,
78', Boussaid W. ↓, Verdier Y. ↑,
78', Trinker T. ↓, Traore G. ↑,
84', Ahmed A. ↓, Kelo G. ↑,
86', Bouaoune I. 🟨,
88', Faty M. ↓, Doumbia C. ↑,
89', Rodrigues C. ↓, Diebold Y. ↑,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 5).
Le Puy's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Le Puy has had a series of home games.
Le Puy is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Châteauroux won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2.7:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Châteauroux won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.