The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Le Puy 45.2%
Draw 28.3%
Fleury 91 26.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.5%
28.6%
25.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.9%
26.6%
24.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Le Puy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Fleury 91 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Puy than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleury 91 than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Le Puy - Fleury 91 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Carvalho M. (G) 5. Zogba M. 25. Mohamed I. 3. Seidou E. 17. Bouleghcha I. 22. Xhemo R. (C) 28. Doumbia C. 10. Wade P. 8. Akkal S. 24. Nsingi P. 15. Rodrigues C.
40. Alette G. (G) 7. Lambese S. 4. Vogt Q. 2. Colombo F. 25. Jean-Pierre M. 14. Belliard M. 6. Lefebvre G. (C) 20. Hervieu L. 10. Le Mehaute Y. 19. Farade K. 17. Lavigne V.
Substitutes
9. Adelaide M. 26. Esmel H. 23. Gromat J. 12. Irabor B. 6. Soualhia A.
5. Aubourg H. 23. Bovis E. 26. Karamoko H. 9. Rivas J. 11. Sylla S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Vogt Q. 🟨,
28', Belliard M. 🟨,
32', Nsingi P. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
57', Xhemo R. 🟨,
62', 0 - 1, Hervieu L. ⚽,
72', 1 - 1, Rodrigues C. (Penalty Awarded),
73', Lavigne V. ↓, Sylla S. ↑,
73', Lambese S. ↓, Bovis E. ↑,
77', Wade P. ↓, Adelaide M. ↑,
78', Rodrigues C. ↓, Gromat J. ↑,
79', Belliard M. ↓, Aubourg H. ↑,
80', Le Mehaute Y. ↓, Rivas J. ↑,
82', 2 - 1, Adelaide M. ⚽, Gromat J. (A),
88', Jean-Pierre M. 🟨,
90+1', Farade K. 🟨,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 7).
Le Puy is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Fleury-Merogis is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Le Puy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Le Puy has had a series of away games.
Le Puy will hold a modest advantage in this match.
The teams have not played against each other recently.