Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - Round 9

Date: 8 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stade Olympique Maréchal Idriss Déby Itno (N'Djamena)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chad	Tele Tchad
India	FanCode, FanCode
Mali	ORTM
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	FIFA+


	Chad		Mali

	1	X	2
	15	5.5	1.25	Watch
	26	8.75	1.11
	12.5	4.7	1.27	Watch
	19.43	5.2	1.24
	18.65	4.67	1.22	Watch
	13.1	5.8	1.22	Watch
	20	8.4	1.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	17.81 ↓ (25)	6.15 ↓ (8)	1.2 ↑ (1.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chad
5.3%

Draw
15.5%

Mali
79.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

3.7%

11.6%

84.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Mali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mali might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	14.3%	85.7%

Chad - Mali Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Mali will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mali (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2 - Mali (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Mali (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Mbaynassem J. (G) 8. Tchouplaou C. (C) Casric Stars 12. Kouma L. Young Africans 6. Thiam M. Stade Tunisien 15. Daikreo W. 18. Damba W. Kadiogo 3. Michael D. W. Al-Merreikh 23. Tchaouna F. 7. Tchaouna H. Zabbar 5. Tchaouna F. Salernitana 11. Ecua C. Young Africans	16. Samassa M. (G) Laval 15. Fofana M. New England Revolution 3. Dante A. Arouca 12. Camara M. Al-Sadd 5. Diaby A. Grasshoppers 23. Dieng A. (C) Al Ahly 13. Doucoure F. Le Havre 19. Doumbia K. Brest 18. Sangare M. Levski Sofia 10. Diarra G. Feyenoord 7. Nene D. Fenerbahce
Substitutes
19. Abakar M. 17. Allarabaye Y. Foullah Edifice 2. Aziz A. 21. Daba G. . Djedanoum F. 10. Marius Samsunspor 16. Matthieu A. (G) 20. Merba B. 4. Noubara F. 13. Osee N. CotonTchad . Samba Diallo M. (G)	21. Camara O. Angers 11. Coulibaly L. Lecce 1. Diawara I. (G) Sirius 9. Doumbia M. Watford 4. Haidara A. RB Leipzig 2. Konate C. O. Clermont 20. Sangare M. Lens 17. Sinayoko L. Auxerre 8. Sylla M. Schalke
Coaches
Savoy R.	Saintfiet T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Doumbia K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Diaby A. ↓, Camara O. ↑,
46', Sangare M. ↓, Sinayoko L. ↑,
55', Damba W. ↓, Marius ↑,
67', Camara M. ↓, Coulibaly L. ↑,
72', Michael D. W. 🟨,
74', Diarra G. ↓, Sangare M. ↑,
74', 0 - 2, Doumbia K. ⚽, Dante A. (A),
83', Tchaouna H. ↓, Merba B. ↑,
83', Tchaouna F. ↓, Djedanoum F. ↑,
85', Daikreo W. 🟨,
85', Doumbia K. ↓, Haidara A. ↑,
90', Ecua C. ↓, Allarabaye Y. ↑,

Preview

In this match, Mali is the clear favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Chad won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chad
FIFA World Cup
08.09.25	Madagascar - Chad	3:1 ✺
04.09.25	Chad - Ghana	1:1 ✺
Friendly
10.06.25	Kenya - Chad	2:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
25.03.25	Comoros - Chad	1:0 ✺
21.03.25	Ghana - Chad	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 36 LTLLL
- Mali
FIFA World Cup
08.09.25	Ghana - Mali	1:0 ✺
04.09.25	Mali - Comoros	3:0 ✺
Friendly
05.06.25	D.R. Congo - Mali	1:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
24.03.25	Central Africa - Mali	0:0 ✺
20.03.25	Comoros - Mali	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
17.11.23	Mali - Chad	3:1
Africa Cup of Nations
17.11.19	Chad - Mali	0:2

Chad - Mali: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide