Match Info

World Championship - Qualification - Round 8

Date: 8 September 2025, Monday

Location: Accra Sports Stadium (Accra)

Referee: Badi L. (Rsa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, SuperSport Grandstand
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Ghana	GTV Sports Plus
Kenya	Gotv
Mali	ORTM
Netherlands	Canal+
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport PSL
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	FIFA+


	Ghana		Mali

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.8	3.5	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.3	Watch
	2.48	2.62	3.35
	2.45	2.73	3.48
	2.59	2.60	3.34	Watch
	2.4	3	3.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.12)	2.81 ↓ (3)	3.38 ↓ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ghana
38.8%

Draw
33.4%

Mali
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

30.6%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ghana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Mali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
43.7%	56.2%	0%

Ghana - Mali Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Ghana will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 56.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 32% – 80.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Ghana (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 7 - 87.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Ghana (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Ghana (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 7 - 77.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Asare B. (G) Hearts of Oak 4. Adjetey J. Basel 9. Ayew J. (C) Leicester 23. Djiku A. Fenerbahce 20. Kudus M. Tottenham 14. Mensah G. Auxerre 5. Partey T. Villarreal 6. Salisu M. Monaco 11. Semenyo A. Bournemouth 8. Sibo K. R. Oviedo 2. Yirenkyi C. Nordsjaelland	16. Diarra D. (G) Young Africans 12. Camara M. Al-Sadd 11. Coulibaly L. Lecce 3. Dante A. Arouca 21. Diakite S. Palermo 23. Dieng A. (C) Al Ahly 13. Doucoure F. Le Havre 19. Doumbia K. Brest 15. Fofana M. New England Revolution 6. Niakate S. Braga 17. Sinayoko L. Auxerre
Substitutes
21. Abdul Samed S. Nice 15. Afriyie J. RAAL La Louviere 12. Anang J. (G) St. Patricks 1. Ati Zigi L. (G) St. Gallen 7. Bonsu Baah C. Al Qadisiya 3. Lamptey T. Fiorentina 18. Opoku J. Basaksehir 17. Osman I. Auxerre 13. Paintsil J. Los Angeles Galaxy 22. Sulemana K. Atalanta 19. Williams I. Ath Bilbao	14. Camara M. Laval 20. Camara O. Angers 5. Cisse I. Schalke 10. Diarra G. Feyenoord 22. Diarra L. (G) Lyon 1. Diawara I. (G) Sirius 9. Doumbia M. Watford 2. Konate C. O. Clermont 7. Nene D. Fenerbahce 18. Sangare M. Levski Sofia 4. Sangare M. Lens 8. Sylla M. Schalke
Coaches
Addo O.	Saintfiet T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Adjetey J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Djiku A. ⚽, Ayew J. (A),
58', Doucoure F. ↓, Nene D. ↑,
58', Coulibaly L. ↓, Diarra G. ↑,
69', Sinayoko L. ↓, Sangare M. ↑,
72', Semenyo A. ↓, Sulemana K. ↑,
80', Kudus M. ↓, Paintsil J. ↑,
80', Ayew J. ↓, Williams I. ↑,
81', Diakite S. ↓, Camara O. ↑,
81', Dante A. ↓, Sylla M. ↑,
84', Partey T. 🟨,
87', Djiku A. ↓, Opoku J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ghana won 3.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ghana won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.9:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ghana
FIFA World Cup
04.09.25	Chad - Ghana	1:1 ✺
Friendly
31.05.25	Ghana - Trinidad & Tobago	4:0 ✺
28.05.25	Nigeria - Ghana	2:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
24.03.25	Madagascar - Ghana	0:3 ✺
21.03.25	Ghana - Chad	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TWLWW
- Mali
FIFA World Cup
04.09.25	Mali - Comoros	3:0 ✺
Friendly
05.06.25	D.R. Congo - Mali	1:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
24.03.25	Central Africa - Mali	0:0 ✺
20.03.25	Comoros - Mali	0:3 ✺
Africa Cup of Nations
19.11.24	Mali - Eswatini	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
06.06.24	Mali - Ghana	1:2
Friendly
09.10.20	Mali - Ghana	3:0
WAFU Cup of Nations
16.09.17	Ghana - Mali	1:0
Africa Cup of Nations
21.01.17	Ghana - Mali	1:0
Friendly
31.03.15	Ghana - Mali	1:1
Africa Cup of Nations
09.02.13	Mali - Ghana	3:1
24.01.13	Ghana - Mali	1:0

Ghana - Mali: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide