Match Info

Africa Cup of Nations - Round 3

Date: 29 December 2025, Monday

Location: Stade Mohamed V (Casablanca)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	AfroSport TV Africa, CANAL+ CAN, DStv Now, New World Sport 4, New World Sport App, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2
Australia	beIN Connect
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Cameroon	Canal 2 International
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports Espanol
Comoros	ORTC
Cote-d-ivoire	NCI, RTI 3
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	ERT 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	5 LIVE Israel
Japan	DAZN Japan
Laos	beIN Connect
Madagascar	MATV
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Mali	ORTM
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Portugal	Sport TV7
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 3
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
South-africa	SABC Plus, SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 2
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Exxen
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV


	Comoros		Mali

	1	X	2
	6.5	3.4	1.48	Watch
	7.1	3.8	1.55	Watch
	7.11	3.78	1.56	Watch
	7	3.5	1.5
	7.92	3.71	1.52	Watch
	6.66	3.75	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.05 ↓ (14.38)	3.66 ↓ (5.06)	1.53 ↑ (1.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Comoros
13.3%

Draw
25.5%

Mali
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

6.6%

18.7%

74.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Comoros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Comoros's performance.

Mali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mali might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	9.1%	81.8%

Comoros - Mali Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Comoros (votes: 2 - 40%). Mali (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH -2 - Mali (4.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Mali will win (18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.7% – 97.94%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Comoros (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Mali (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Pandor Y. (G) Francs Borains 15. Youssouf B. Sochaux 8. Kari Y. Frejus Saint Raphael 5. Soilihi A. Toulon 4. Toibibou K. Bravo 18. Bourhane Y. Aris Limassol 28. Youssouf Z. Al Fateh 3. Abdallah A. Guingamp 17. Maolida M. Al Kholood 11. Said R. St. Liege 7. Selemani F. (C) Qatar SC	16. Diarra D. (G) Young Africans 13. Doucoure F. Le Havre 5. Diaby A. Grasshoppers 25. Camara O. Angers 28. Gassama N. Baltika 20. Sangare M. Lens 10. Bissouma Y. (C) Tottenham 17. Sinayoko L. Auxerre 12. Camara M. Al-Sadd 7. Nene D. Fenerbahce 19. Doumbia K. Brest
Substitutes
13. Ahmed A. Chateauroux 9. Ali A. Francs Borains 20. Amir Z. Istres 23. Anzimati-Aboudou A. (G) Ararat Yerevan 22. Bakari S. Sparta Rotterdam 1. Ben Boina S. (G) Istres 2. Boura I. Troyes 21. El Fardou Ben Zemun 27. Lutin R. Amiens SC 10. M'Changama Y. Al Batin 12. M'Dahoma K. Aubagne FC 25. Mohamed I. Le Puy-en-Velay 6. Mohamed I. Casa Pia 26. Mroivili R. Villefranche 14. Vita R. Tondela	14. Camara M. Laval 11. Coulibaly L. Lecce 3. Dante A. Arouca 27. Diakite G. Lausanne 21. Diarra G. Feyenoord 1. Diawara I. (G) Sirius 8. Doumbia M. Al Ittihad 18. Doumbia M. Watford 15. Fofana M. New England Revolution 4. Haidara A. RB Leipzig 6. Niakate S. Braga 22. Samassa M. (G) Laval 24. Sissoko I. Bochum 9. Toure E. B. Besiktas 2. Traore H. Paris FC
Coaches
Cusin S.	Saintfiet T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Toibibou K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Camara M. 🟨,
57', Soilihi A. ↓, Boura I. ↑,
57', Maolida M. ↓, El Fardou Ben ↑,
63', Bissouma Y. ↓, Doumbia M. ↑,
70', Camara O. ↓, Haidara A. ↑,
70', Nene D. ↓, Diarra G. ↑,
72', Youssouf Z. ↓, M'Changama Y. ↑,
72', Bourhane Y. ↓, Mohamed I. ↑,
79', Boura I. 🟨,
83', Sinayoko L. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
83', Sangare M. ↓, Coulibaly L. ↑,
84', Youssouf B. ↓, Bakari S. ↑,
88', Haidara A. 🟥,
90+1', El Fardou Ben 🟨,

Preview

Comoros is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Comoros may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mali is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Mali: Dieng A. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Mali: Niakate S. (Injury) Traore H. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Comoros won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:6. (average 0:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Comoros
Africa Cup of Nations
26.12.25	Zambia - Comoros	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Morocco - Comoros	2:0 ✺
FIFA Arab Cup
08.12.25	Oman - Comoros	2:1 ✺
05.12.25	Comoros - Saudi Arabia	1:3 ✺
02.12.25	Morocco - Comoros	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TLLLL
- Mali
Africa Cup of Nations
26.12.25	Morocco - Mali	1:1 ✺
22.12.25	Mali - Zambia	1:1 ✺
Friendly
18.11.25	Jordan - Mali	0:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
12.10.25	Mali - Madagascar	4:1 ✺
08.10.25	Chad - Mali	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
04.09.25	Mali - Comoros	3:0
20.03.25	Comoros - Mali	0:3

Comoros - Mali: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide