Match Info

Thai League 2 - Round 30

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Chai Nat Provincial Stadium (Chai Nat)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Chainat		Nakhon Si United

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.5	4.25
	1.71	3.47	4.25
	1.7	3.58	4.45	Watch
	1.7	3.25	4.4
	1.74	3.7	4.21
	1.64	3.6	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.64)	3.52 ↓ (3.6)	4.31 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chainat
53.3%

Draw
25.7%

Nakhon Si United
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

24.8%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

26.9%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chainat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Nakhon Si United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chainat than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chainat, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nakhon Si United than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Chainat - Nakhon Si United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', 1 - 0, Shimizu T. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chainat won 2.

Chainat is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Nakhon Si has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Chainat may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Nakhon Si has had a series of home games.

In this match, Chainat is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Chainat won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.4:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Chainat won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 0.7:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Chainat	4	2	1	1	5:5	0	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chainat FC
Thai League 2
07.03.26	Songkhla - Chainat	2:0 ✺
04.03.26	Chainat - Chanthaburi	1:4 ✺
28.02.26	Sisaket United - Chainat	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Bangkok FC - Chainat	1:1 ✺
19.02.26	Chainat - Mahasarakham	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLTTL
- Nakhon Si United
Thai League 2
08.03.26	Nakhon Si United - Sisaket United	2:2 ✺
05.03.26	Phrae United - Nakhon Si United	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Nakhon Si United - Mahasarakham	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Nakhon Si United - Chiangmai United	3:1 ✺
19.02.26	Nakhon Si United - Kasetsart	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 TTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 2
29.11.25	Nakhon Si United - Chainat	1:0
29.03.25	Nakhon Si United - Chainat	0:1
30.11.24	Chainat - Nakhon Si United	1:0
07.02.24	Chainat - Nakhon Si United	0:0
29.09.23	Nakhon Si United - Chainat	2:0
05.02.23	Chainat - Nakhon Si United	1:0
17.09.22	Nakhon Si United - Chainat	2:0

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