Match Info

EL SALVADOR: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 15

Date: 9 April 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Chalatenango		CD Dragón

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Chalatenango
34.8%

Draw
31.6%

CD Dragón
33.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.2%

31%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

30.8%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chalatenango has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

CD Dragón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chalatenango than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Dragón than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

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Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chalatenango won 1.

Chalatenango is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dragón is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chalatenango could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Chalatenango won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 17-27.

Including matches at home between the teams Chalatenango won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-9.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Chalatenango
El Salvador Primera Division
02.04.23	Luis Ángel Firpo - Chalatenango	0:1 ✺
29.03.23	Santa Tecla - Chalatenango	2:3 ✺
26.03.23	Chalatenango - Isidro Metapán	2:2 ✺
19.03.23	Chalatenango - Atlético Marte	0:2 ✺
11.03.23	Jocoro - Chalatenango	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.2 WWTLW
- CD Dragón
El Salvador Primera Division
02.04.23	CD Dragón - Águila	0:2 ✺
29.03.23	CD Dragón - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	1:0 ✺
25.03.23	Jocoro - CD Dragón	2:0 ✺
19.03.23	CD Dragón - CD FAS	0:2 ✺
10.03.23	Alianza San Miguel - CD Dragón	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWLLT

El Salvador Primera Division
12.02.23	CD Dragón - Chalatenango	7:1
13.10.22	Chalatenango - CD Dragón	1:2
21.09.22	CD Dragón - Chalatenango	0:1
07.04.18	CD Dragón - Chalatenango	1:1
10.02.18	Chalatenango - CD Dragón	0:1
11.11.17	Chalatenango - CD Dragón	4:2
09.09.17	CD Dragón - Chalatenango	2:0

Chalatenango - CD Dragón