Match Info

EL SALVADOR: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 10

Date: 11 March 2023, Saturday


	Jocoro		Chalatenango

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.7	4.6
	1.58	3.5	4.7
	1.62	3.75	4.5
	1.67	3.72	5.06
	1.62	3.82	4.9
	1.62	3.75	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.78)	3.71 ↑ (3.39)	4.71 ↑ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jocoro
56.2%

Draw
24.5%

Chalatenango
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

26.8%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

22%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jocoro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Chalatenango has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jocoro than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jocoro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chalatenango than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chalatenango could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 10 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Jocoro won 2.

Recent matches Jocoro is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chalatenango has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Jocoro is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Jocoro won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 28-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Jocoro won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 22-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jocoro FC
El Salvador Primera Division
05.03.23	Atlético Marte - Jocoro	2:0 ✺
02.03.23	Jocoro - Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca	2:1 ✺
26.02.23	Águila - Jocoro	1:0 ✺
19.02.23	Jocoro - Santa Tecla	2:3 ✺
16.02.23	Jocoro - CD FAS	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWLLW
- CD Chalatenango
El Salvador Primera Division
05.03.23	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Chalatenango	3:1 ✺
02.03.23	Chalatenango - Águila	1:2 ✺
26.02.23	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - Chalatenango	4:0 ✺
19.02.23	CD FAS - Chalatenango	1:1 ✺
15.02.23	Chalatenango - Luis Ángel Firpo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
23.10.22	Jocoro - Chalatenango	4:0
01.10.22	Chalatenango - Jocoro	0:0
23.04.22	Jocoro - Chalatenango	6:5
19.02.22	Chalatenango - Jocoro	1:0
13.11.21	Chalatenango - Jocoro	2:0
11.09.21	Jocoro - Chalatenango	3:1
01.02.20	Jocoro - Chalatenango	4:1

Jocoro - Chalatenango: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide