Match Info

EL SALVADOR: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 12

Date: 26 March 2023, Sunday


	Chalatenango		Isidro Metapán

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.85	2.7
	15	6	1.15
	2.71	2.84	2.93
	2.64	2.81	2.84
	2.47	2.9	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.06 ↑ (2.63)	3.48 ↑ (2.86)	2.46 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chalatenango
22.2%

Draw
32.3%

Isidro Metapán
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

31.9%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

30.8%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chalatenango has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chalatenango's form might have worsened.

Isidro Metapán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Isidro Metapán's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chalatenango than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chalatenango, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Isidro Metapán than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Isidro Metapán, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	20%	30%

Chalatenango - Isidro Metapán Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Chalatenango will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Isidro Metapán will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chalatenango: 19% – 81%.

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chalatenango won 0.

Chalatenango is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Isidro Metapán is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Isidro Metapán could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 30 head-to-head matches Chalatenango won 6 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 16 matches and goals 30-43.

Including matches at home between the teams Chalatenango won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 14-20.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Chalatenango
El Salvador Primera Division
19.03.23	Chalatenango - Atlético Marte	0:2 ✺
11.03.23	Jocoro - Chalatenango	1:4 ✺
05.03.23	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Chalatenango	3:1 ✺
02.03.23	Chalatenango - Águila	1:2 ✺
26.02.23	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - Chalatenango	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWLLL
- AD Isidro Metapán
El Salvador Primera Division
18.03.23	Luis Ángel Firpo - Isidro Metapán	1:0 ✺
11.03.23	Isidro Metapán - CD FAS	1:0 ✺
04.03.23	Santa Tecla - Isidro Metapán	4:2 ✺
01.03.23	Alianza San Miguel - Isidro Metapán	0:0 ✺
25.02.23	Isidro Metapán - CD Dragón	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
28.01.23	Isidro Metapán - Chalatenango	1:0
14.05.22	Chalatenango - Isidro Metapán	1:2
11.05.22	Isidro Metapán - Chalatenango	1:0
19.03.22	Chalatenango - Isidro Metapán	1:1
22.01.22	Isidro Metapán - Chalatenango	2:1
25.09.21	Isidro Metapán - Chalatenango	1:4
28.04.21	Chalatenango - Isidro Metapán	0:4

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