Match Info

GERMANY: Oberliga Bayern Nord - Round 35

Date: 1 May 2024, Wednesday


	Cham		Donaustauf

	1	X	2
	1.22	6	9.5
	1.24	6.18	8.82
	1.24	6.24	8.69
	1.21	6.22	9.7
	1.22	6	9.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.35)	6.13 ↑ (5.37)	9.24 ↑ (6.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cham
75%

Draw
15%

Donaustauf
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69%

17.3%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

12.4%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cham's performance.

Donaustauf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cham than the current prediction. (-25.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cham that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Donaustauf than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Donaustauf could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cham - Donaustauf Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Kalteis A. ⚽,
41', 2 - 0, Zempelin B. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
61', 3 - 0, Landstorfer K. ⚽,
64', 4 - 0, Haimerl S. ⚽,
75', 5 - 0, Landstorfer K. ⚽,
86', 6 - 0, Medineli E. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

The competitors look crappy now.

Recently Donaustauf have a series of home games.

In this match Cham is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cham won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Cham won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASV Cham
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
27.04.24	Neumarkt - Cham	2:1 ✺
20.04.24	Cham - Abtswind	2:3 ✺
13.04.24	Coburg - Cham	0:2 ✺
30.03.24	Bayern Hof - Cham	1:1 ✺
23.03.24	Cham - Fortuna Regensburg	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWTL
- SV Donaustauf
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
27.04.24	Donaustauf - ATSV Erlangen	0:1 ✺
20.04.24	Donaustauf - Neumarkt	0:5 ✺
16.04.24	Donaustauf - Jahn Regensburg II	1:2 ✺
12.04.24	Abtswind - Donaustauf	3:1 ✺
06.04.24	Donaustauf - Coburg	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bayern Nord
07.10.23	Donaustauf - Cham	2:1
15.03.23	Donaustauf - Cham	2:2
29.07.22	Cham - Donaustauf	0:5

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